2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
8.76%median
-100%100%
Median 8.76%Middle half 6.47% – 10.9%
Install
Will Trump's impeachments be expunged?
The odds
7%Before Jan 1, 2027
- Before Jan 1, 20277%
How the odds have moved
Before Jan 1, 2027: 7% on Oct 19, 7% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 1% | $100.00 | 485 | |||
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 7% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 36.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: impeachment, President Donald Trump
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SEE IT: President Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump sign executive order on women's healthPresident Donald Trump and First Lady Melania Trump sign an executive order focused on advancing women's health, then hand out commemorative pens to Cabinet members involved in the initiative. SEE IT: President Donald Trump and First Lady… -
President Donald Trump speaks at Wichita-area rally(Video) Wichita Eagle -
Exclusive Interview: President Donald Trump speaks with 12 NewsKWCH Exclusive Interview: President Donald Trump speaks with 12 News -
President Donald Trump will be in Michigan on Sunday for a rallyPresident Donald Trump waves as he arrives on Air Force One, Thursday, Oct. 15, 2026, at Joint Base Andrews, Md. ST. CLAIR COUNTY, Mich. (WJRT) - President Donald Trump will be coming to Michigan on Sunday for a rally, a little more than a… -
President Donald Trump is scheduled to visit Michigan this ...President Donald Trump is scheduled to visit Michigan this Sunday, October 25, for a campaign rally in Port Huron, just nine days before the November 3 ... AI-generated briefing — triage, not the story; every claim links out to the… -
President Donald Trump’s Schedule for Tuesday, October 20, 2026by Rich Mitchell at CDN - Schedule Summary: President Donald Trump will have executive time, hold several policy meetings, make an announcement, sign a bill into law, and hold a rally in North Carolina on Tuesday. President Donald Trump’s… -
President Donald Trump in Kansas MondayA jury is sworn in for the trial of two teenagers accused of murdering Luis Guembes. Sam Coutts' mother tells his inquest the college did not care appropriately for her son. PARIS, Oct 19 (Reuters) - France's central government asked some… -
President Donald Trump’s Schedule for Monday, October 19, 2026by Rich Mitchell at CDN - Schedule Summary: President Donald Trump will have executive time, sign an executive order, hold a few policy meetings, and hold a rally on Monday. President Donald Trump’s Itinerary for 10/19/26 ALL TIMES EDT… -
President Donald Trump coming to Port Huron this weekend for rally(WXYZ) — President Donald Trump will be in Michigan this weekend for a rally with Republicans just over a week until Election Day. Watch below: Trump rallies with top Republicans in critical battleground state of Georgia According to the… -
President Donald Trump to hold rally at the Sioux Gateway AirportThe Republican National Committee announced Thursday night that President Trump will headline a midterm rally in Sioux City Thursday, October 22nd. SIOUX CITY (KTIV) - President Donald Trump is coming to Sioux City to hold a rally at the… -
President Donald Trump speaks during his rally on Oct. 17, 2026, in Highland Heights, Kentucky.President Donald Trump speaks during his rally on Oct. 17, 2026, in Highland Heights, Kentucky. There was a problem reporting this. Keep it Clean. Please avoid obscene, vulgar, lewd, racist or sexually-oriented language. - To view our…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.