AI bubble burst by...?
27%June 30, 2027
- December 31, 20268%▼ 7
- June 30, 202727%▲ 3
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DoorDash total orders in Q1 2027
The odds
1.09Bmedian
1.00B1.25B
Median 1.09BMiddle half 1.06B – 1.14B
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.08B on Nov 3, 1.09B now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1010 million | 95% | 91¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 171 | |
| Above 1020 million | 95% | 90¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | ||
| Above 1030 million | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | ||
| Above 1040 million | 87% | 82¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | ||
| Above 1050 million | 81% | 77¢ | 85¢ | $1.18 | ||
| Above 1060 million | 74% | 69¢ | 78¢ | $1.28 | ||
| Above 1070 million | 66% | 61¢ | 70¢ | $1.43 | ||
| Above 1080 million | 56% | 52¢ | 61¢ | $1.64 | ||
| Above 1090 million | 48% | 43¢ | 52¢ | $1.92 | ||
| Above 1170 million | 11% | ▼ 2 | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 107 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: DoorDash
Search ›- National Sandwich Day 2026 deals and freebies: Subway, Doordash and moreThese sandwich deals are the best thing since sliced bread. National Sandwich Day has arrived, and top chain restaurants across the country are rolling out appetizing deals on their signature subs to save customers some bread. Celebrated…
- New DoorDash rival promises cheaper takeout — but can it deliver?There’s a new takeout app in town — and it wants to eat the competition. Olo’s shtick is convenience without the markup. No inflated prices, they promise — no added charges, no sponsored ads. What you see on the menu when you’re at the…
- Sweetgreen, DoorDash, and McDonald’sDoorDash could buy Instacart. The two delivery companies are in advanced talks on a deal that would value Instacart at $17 billion, the Wall Street journal reported. The deal would boost Doordash’s growing grocery delivery business and put…
- 4 big questions about the DoorDash-Instacart dealDoorDash’s deal to buy Instacart is shaping up to be a milestone moment for delivery. If the proposed $17 billion acquisition goes through, it will solidify DoorDash as the dominant U.S. delivery provider, in league with Amazon and…
- DoorDash Acquiring Instacart in Blockbuster $17 Billion DealDoorDash has agreed to acquire rival delivery service Instacart in a blockbuster transaction valued at approximately $17 billion. The acquisition would combine DoorDash’s extensive delivery network with Instacart’s grocery-ordering…
- What DoorDash’s Instacart acquisition says about the modern delivery platform pitchThese days, delivery platforms have to offer more than just delivery services to brands and retailers. DoorDash’s announced plans to acquire Instacart for $17 billion point to the constant need to gain market share by diversifying services…
- Latham & Watkins Advises DoorDash on US$17 Billion Acquisition of InstacartLegal Desire Latham & Watkins Advises DoorDash on US$17 Billion Acquisition of Instacart DoorDash, Inc. (Nasdaq: DASH) and Maplebear Inc. (d.b.a. Instacart, Nasdaq: CART) have announced a definitive agreement under which DoorDash will…
- DoorDash set to add Instacart for $17 billionSAN FRANCISCO — DoorDash has reached an agreement to acquire Instacart in a transaction valued at approximately $17 billion. The purchase price of $65 per share represents a 26% premium to Instacart’s closing price on Oct. 22. The combined…
- DoorDash's $17 Billion Instacart Deal Won't Work Even If It Closes, Industry Veteran SaysFor DoorDash, the transaction would be its largest ever. According to people familiar with the matter, the aim is to expand from restaurant delivery into groceries and other retail categories to build scale and compete with giants like…
- Cracking the grocery puzzle: here's why DoorDash's blockbuster Instacart deal will not end wellUnless you spent last week living in a cave, you will know that DoorDash is set to acquire Instacart for $17 billion. The deal, DoorDash's biggest yet, will, according to those involved, give the company greater scale as it expands beyond…
- Can Costco's DoorDash and Uber Eats Expansion Drive Incremental Sales?The Globe and Mail Can Costco's DoorDash and Uber Eats Expansion Drive Incremental Sales? Costco Wholesale CorporationCOST is expanding its same-day delivery reach through DoorDash and Uber Eats, offering more ways for members to shop…
- DoorDash’s $17 Billion Acquisition Of Instacart Roils Food IndustryDoorDash has shown a voracious appetite for food delivery platforms, gobbling up rivals such as GrubHub, and acquiring its campus dining business for $300 million in September, and last year, U.K.-based Deliveroo in a $3.9 billion deal…
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First Solar module volume sold in Q1 2027
3,827median
2,2004,600
Median 3,827Middle half 3,444 – 4,296
Max App Downloads in October (October 2026)
62.5high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 62.5.
- Reaches 5100%
- Reaches 20100%
DraftKings App Downloads in October (October 2026)
343.8median
5705
Median 343.8Middle half 282.6 – 405
Peacock App Downloads in October (October 2026)
92.6median
50210
Median 92.6Middle half 88.8 – 96.4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 9 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions