Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
>99%chance
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Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in 2026
The odds
824,051median
770,000920,000
Median 824,051Middle half 801,667 – 832,308
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 780 thousand | 90% | ▼ 1 | 85¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | 510 |
| Above 790 thousand | 85% | ▼ 6 | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 143 |
| Above 800 thousand | 76% | ▼ 9 | 71¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 1.3K |
| Above 810 thousand | 70% | ▼ 4 | 65¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 538 |
| Above 820 thousand | 66% | ▼ 19 | 61¢ | 71¢ | $1.41 | 801 |
| Above 830 thousand | 27% | ▼ 3 | 22¢ | 31¢ | $3.23 | 383 |
| Above 840 thousand | 20% | ▼ 5 | 16¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | 2.3K |
| Above 850 thousand | 11% | ▼ 6 | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 293 |
| Above 860 thousand | 10% | ▼ 5 | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | |
| Above 870 thousand | 8% | ▼ 5 | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 6.00 |
| Above 880 thousand | 8% | ▼ 3 | 3¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 300 |
| Above 890 thousand | 6% | ▼ 6 | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 1.6K |
| Above 900 thousand | 5% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 3.7K |
| Above 910 thousand | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 3.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Carvana
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.