Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q1 2027

Kalshi Finance › Companies Closes Aug 26, 2027 · $657 traded · $24 at stake · prices read 81 min ago

The odds

257,143median
200,000285,000
Median 257,143Middle half 250,000 – 264,643

How the odds have moved

Median: 257,368 on Nov 2, 257,143 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 220000 96% 93¢ 99¢ $1.01 132
Above 240000 92% 88¢ 96¢ $1.04 132
Above 245000 86% 82¢ 90¢ $1.11 132
Above 250000 75% 71¢ 79¢ $1.27 132
Above 255000 59% 55¢ 63¢ $1.59 132
Above 260000 38% ▼ 2 36¢ 40¢ $2.50 132
Above 265000 24% 20¢ 28¢ $3.57 157
Above 270000 13% 9¢ 17¢ $5.88 238
Above 275000 6% 2¢ 10¢ $10.00
Above 280000 4% 1¢ 7¢ $14.29

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Carvana

Search ›
  • Homebuilding scale lessons from Carvana’s integrated modelHousingWire · 35 h agoCarvana’s $483 million quarter and 6.0% net margin highlight the value of integrated operations over visible locations. The piece argues homebuilders should prioritize cycle time, capital turns, overhead per closing, and return on capital…
  • Needham names Carvana top pick, flags bullish catalysts for EV stocksYahoo Finance · 23 h agoInvesting.com -- Needham & Company maintained its bullish stance on Carvana, retaining the online used-car retailer as its top pick for November, citing its long-term profitable growth prospects and an attractive valuation. Needham…
  • What Sent Carvana Stock Higher?Trefis · 2 days agoShares of Carvana (CVNA) gained 5.4% on Monday, November 2, 2026, as the S&P 500 fell 0.5%. The company released no announcements, earnings reports or filings that day, but all five car retailers on its peer list also rose. What news that…
  • Carvana (NYSE:CVNA) Director Sells $1,000,137.60 in StockMarketBeat · 46 h agoJ Danforth Quayle also recently made the following trade(s): Get Our Latest Report on CVNA Carvana Co NYSE: CVNA is an online automotive retailer that sells used vehicles through its digital platform. Customers can browse vehicles, review…
  • Carvana CPO Daniel J. Gill Sells 253,639 Shares in November 2026 Stock Transactions@kalkineus · 36 h agoWhat Is Driving BJ’s Wholesale Club’s (NYSE:BJ) Seasonal Strategy? What Is Driving Macy’s (NYSE:M) Latest Retail Strategy? On November 3, 2026, Daniel J. Gill, Chief Product Officer of Carvana Co., filed a Form 4 revealing two Class A…
  • Why Carvana’s digital roots position it to win as customers turn to agentic AIautonews.com · 32 h agoCarvana is well-positioned to capitalize on agentic artificial intelligence because of its digital-first sales and distribution system and vertical integration, CEO Ernie Garcia said. Why Carvana’s digital roots position it to win as…
  • BNP Paribas Adjusts Carvana Price Target to $67 From $69MarketScreener · 3 days agoCarvana has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $82.29, according to analysts polled by FactSet. ... Auto Vehicles, Parts & Service Retailers BNP Paribas Adjusts Carvana Price Target to $67 From $69 Published on…
  • Needham & Co Adjusts Carvana Price Target to $100 From $120MarketScreener · 3 days agoCarvana has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $82.29, according to analysts polled by FactSet. Price: 67.88, Change: +8.82, Percent Change: +14.93 ... Auto Vehicles, Parts & Service Retailers Needham & Co Adjusts…
  • UBS Adjusts Price Target on Carvana to $84 From $83, Keeps Buy RatingMarketScreener · 3 days agoCarvana Co has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $80.52, according to analysts polled by FactSet. Price: 68.81, Change: +9.76, Percent Change: +16.52 ... Auto Vehicles, Parts & Service Retailers UBS Adjusts Price…
  • Deutsche Bank Adjusts Carvana Price Target to $85 From $80, Maintains Buy RatingMarketScreener · 3 days agoCarvana has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $82.29, according to analysts polled by FactSet. ... Auto Vehicles, Parts & Service Retailers Deutsche Bank Adjusts Carvana Price Target to $85 From $80, Maintains Buy…
  • What Is The Best Case For Carvana Stock?Trefis · 4 days agoCarvana Is Aiming For Three Million Cars A Year Management’s goal is a business that sells 3 million cars a year. The company pairs that target with a profit goal of a 13.5% adjusted EBITDA margin, its own performance measure. Carvana…
  • Stocktwits Retail Therapy: Defensive Bets Extend Streak As Crocs, Wingstop, Carvana Lead Weekly Consumer GainsStocktwits · 4 days agoConsumer stocks outperformed the broader market last week, with Crocs (CROX), Wingstop (WING) and Carvana (CVNA) leading gains as investors cheered earnings strength, improved growth prospects and expansion plans. Crocs stock surged after…

Related markets

All companies ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 10 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions