Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
>99%chance
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Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 (retail vehicle unit sales in Q3 2026)
The odds
217,027median
195,000230,000
Median 217,027Middle half 214,194 – 219,279
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 200000 | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 8.8K | |
| Above 205000 | 93% | 92¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 11.8K | |
| Above 210000 | 88% | 87¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 19.2K | |
| Above 215000 | 73% | ▼ 1 | 71¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | 31.3K |
| Above 220000 | 17% | 15¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 17.1K | |
| Above 225000 | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 7.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Carvana
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9.55%median
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Median 9.55%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.