Will any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026?

Kalshi Finance Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $6 today · $18.3K traded · $4.7K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

33%chance▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Yes: 34% on Oct 20, 33% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Yes	33%	▲ 1	29¢	37¢	$2.70	55.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Google, Meta, Amazon

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Google has joined Amazon in attacking Nvidia's stronghold with AI app developersTechCrunch · 4 days agoBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. On Tuesday, Google announced that TorchTPU, its long-awaited version of PyTorch, is now available as an open-source project. With this, Google joins Amazon in trying to…
Here are Monday's biggest analyst calls: SpaceX, Nvidia, Apple, CoreWeave, Amazon, Meta, Eli Lilly & moreCNBC · 5 days agoGoldman Sachs upgrades CoreWeave to buy from neutral Goldman said CoreWeave shares are undervalued and that investors should buy the dip. "We upgrade CoreWeave from Neutral to Buy with 73% upside to ...
Meta Platforms and Tesla are among the companies set to report next week. What to expectCNBC · 6 days agoMeta, General Motors, major airlines and more companies will report earnings this week. Here's what analysts forecast and what's happened in the past.
Speculation grows over potential Tesla-SpaceX mergerFox Business · 4 days agoR 'Ray' Wang analyzes rumors of a potential stock swap merger between Tesla and SpaceX. He explains how the dual-class voting structure of SpaceX would allow Elon Musk to retain majority control with fewer shares. Stuart Varney hosts the…
Elon Musk says Tesla-SpaceX merger being consideredBBC News · 4 days agoElon Musk is the top executive of both Tesla and SpaceX Elon Musk has said he likes the idea of a merger of Tesla and SpaceX, two of his most notable companies, and it is under active consideration. "Do I think it would be a good idea?…
Meta's lobbying chief plans to leave the tech giantPOLITICO · 4 days agoJoel Kaplan is exiting after shaping the company's lobbying efforts since 2011. 10/20/2026 1:57 PM EDT Joel Kaplan will step down as Meta’s chief global affairs officer next year, a spokesperson and company official with knowledge of the…
Merging SpaceX and Tesla would be a “good idea,” Musk saysArs Technica · 4 days ago“I do think there’s a lot of merit to combining the companies.” Elon Musk said Tuesday that he would like to see the consolidation of his business empire by formally merging his two largest companies, SpaceX and Tesla. “Do I think it would…
View / Tesla’s Roadster represents a feat, and a defeatsemafor.com · 4 days agoThe new Tesla Roadster is science fiction: It can zoom into the air, perform barrel rolls, and then plop down softly using cold-gas rocket thrusters. Unveiled last week at a rocket facility in Texas, the Roadster is a triumph of…
AI stocks rally ahead of Meta earningssemafor.com · 5 days agoThe Nasdaq rose Monday as investors rotated back into chip stocks, after fears over the sustainability of the AI boom fueled last week’s selloff. Momentum in the AI trade comes as investors await Wednesday’s earnings report from Meta —…
Why is Elon Musk plotting a mega-merger of SpaceX and Tesla?BBC News · 3 days agoElon Musk has spent years building Tesla and SpaceX into a pair of trillion-dollar technology empires. Now, he is considering bringing them together. Asked on Tuesday whether a merger would be a good idea, Musk was clear: "Yes." The…
Meta and Tesla earnings preview: two very different businesses, one AI dream@saxobank · 4 days agoMeta's advertising business funds its AI ambitions, but rising costs are testing its profitability. Tesla's robotaxis and robotics offer new growth opportunities, while its car business faces pressure and spending accelerates. Both…
Magnificent 7 Earnings Preview: Meta & Tesla Take Center Stage This WeekTalkMarkets · 4 days agoMeta and Tesla headline a pivotal week as investors weigh massive AI spending against automotive margin pressures. Third-quarter earnings season heats up this week as Magnificent Seven giants Meta Platforms (META - Free Report) and Tesla…

Related markets

All finance ›

Finance › Stocks

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit Week of October 19 2026?

$266.00high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $266.00 and as low as $246.65.

Reaches $264>99%
Reaches $268<1%

Falls to $260>99%
Falls to $256>99%

Already reached: ↑ $260, ↑ $256, ↑ $252

Finance › Stocks

What will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit in October 2026?

$269.16high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $269.16 and as low as $235.85.

Reaches $264>99%
Reaches $27223%

Falls to $256>99%
Falls to $248>99%

Already reached: ↑ $256, ↓ $248, ↑ $248, ↑ $256, ↓ $256, ↓ $256

Finance › Stocks

Amazon’s Market Cap end of 2026?

$2.8Tmedian

$1.5T$5T

Median $2.8TMiddle half $2.45T – $3.17T

Finance › Stocks

Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of October 19 above___?

$247.50median

$215$285

Median $247.50Middle half $246.25 – $248.75

Tech › AI

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

91%Google

Google91%▲ 4
Anthropic7%▼ 5
OpenAI1%

18 more

Meta<1%
Moonshot<1%
Alibaba<1%
Baidu<1%
Z.ai<1%
Xiaomi<1%
SpaceXAI<1%
DeepSeek<1%
Amazon<1%
ByteDance<1%
Nvidia<1%
Thinky<1%
MiniMax<1%
Mistral<1%
Meituan<1%
Tencent<1%
StepFun<1%
Microsoft<1%

Finance › Companies

Largest Company end of October 2026?

59%NVIDIA

NVIDIA59%▼ 6
Apple38%▲ 4
Alphabet<1%

6 more

Tesla<1%
Saudi Aramco<1%
Broadcom<1%
Microsoft<1%
Amazon<1%
SpaceX<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onMeta, Amazon, Tesla

Trading closesJan 1, 2027 10:00 AM ET

Traded$18.3K (55,515 contracts)

Today$6

This week$18.3K

At stake$4.7K

In the news250 headlines today, 4,380 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If, before Jan 1, 2027, any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X newly accept cryptocurrency or crypto tokens (including stablecoins) as payment for any core service or product, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Prices it is about

Amazon.com, Inc.AMZN · about the company248.00−0.95%
Alphabet Inc.GOOGL · about the company320.21−1.24%
Meta Platforms, Inc.META · about the company642.62−0.96%
TSLATSLA · about the company

From 4Search Finance. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.