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CoreWeave power capacity in Q3 (contracted power capacity in Q3 2026)
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 4.34 on Oct 20, 4.33 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.8 gw | 97% | 94¢ | $1.03 | 50.00 | ||
| Above 4 gw | 97% | 96¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 850 | |
| Above 4.2 gw | 77% | ▲ 1 | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 522 |
| Above 4.4 gw | 35% | ▲ 1 | 31¢ | 39¢ | $2.56 | 922 |
| Above 4.6 gw | 18% | 14¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 205 | |
| Above 4.8 gw | 8% | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 55.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CoreWeave
Search ›-
Why CoreWeave is in the crosshairs of the AI selloffCoreWeave is facing a crisis of confidence on Wall Street that's playing out in real time among equity and bond investors. With interest rates spiking and AI build-out concerns mounting, debt-heavy neoclouds like CoreWeave are being viewed… -
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What Could Go Wrong At CoreWeave From Here?For questions about this article or underlying research, email [email protected]. CoreWeave Faces Local Pushback On New Data Centers An analyst raised the threat on CoreWeave’s August 11, 2026 call, citing reports of local opposition to data… -
Comparing GoDaddy (NYSE:GDDY) & CoreWeave (NASDAQ:CRWV)Posted by Tristan Rich on Oct 25th, 2026 GoDaddy (NYSE:GDDY – Get Free Report) and CoreWeave (NASDAQ:CRWV – Get Free Report) are both large-cap technology companies, but which is the better business? We will contrast the two companies… -
CoreWeave: Leading In The Neo-Cloud Space Comes At A CostCoreWeave remains a Strong Buy despite a lower price target. pingingz/iStock via Getty Images I have covered CoreWeave (CRWV) twice, initiating with a strong buy and a roughly $250 price target in early July and maintaining both after the… -
Will Nebius or Coreweave Reach The Point of Return First?CoreWeave and Nebius both sold every GPU they brought online in Q2, yet one carries billions in debt while the other runs on customer prepayments. A credit squeeze could expose that difference fast. CoreWeave (NASDAQ:CRWV) and Nebius Group… -
Elon Musk Just Predicted a Neocloud Bloodbath. CoreWeave Investors Should Listen.AI demand may be booming, but SpaceX’s ability to shift GPU capacity gives it a flexibility most neocloud operators lack. Elon Musk spent part of his Sunday handing out odds on the neocloud business, and they weren’t good. Replying to… -
CoreWeave financial struggles raise doubts about AI sector funding viabilityEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered… -
CoreWeave shares tumble as debt fears hit AI infrastructureThe neocloud's stock and bonds sold off together, putting debt-funded AI buildouts under a harsh spotlight CoreWeave just had the kind of week that makes growth investors reach for antacids. Shares of the GPU cloud provider fell more than… -
Why Is CoreWeave Facing Pressure From Crypto Roots to AI Debt?Why Does Hawsons Iron's (ASX:HIO) Move Look Like Thin-Trading Noise? CoreWeave has come under pressure as concerns about debt and financing costs weigh on its position in the artificial intelligence infrastructure sector. The company… -
SpaceX, CoreWeave, Ambev, XP, Exxon, and More Stocks That Explain Today’s MarketSpaceX rises but neocloud stocks slide after Elon Musk says they face “guppy-level death and consolidation.” Oops, something went wrong U.S. markets open in 2h 41m SpaceX, CoreWeave, Ambev, XP, Exxon, and More Stocks That Explain Today’s… -
Musk Predicts “Guppy-Level Death” For Neocloud Companies As CoreWeave Stock Falls 38% In OctoberElon Musk just predicted mass death for GPU rental companies, and CoreWeave's cratering stock price and distressed bond market suggest lenders may already agree with him. Market Pulse desk. Editor: AJ Tiarsmith, PhD. Elon Musk used a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions