The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above 6.5 million
87%
83¢
91¢
$1.10
200
Above 7 million
62%
59¢
65¢
$1.54
92.00
Above 7.5 million
21%
16¢
26¢
$3.85
219
Above 8 million
8%
3¢
13¢
$7.69
461
Above 8.5 million
5%
1¢
9¢
$11.11
Above 9 million
4%
▼ 1
8¢
$12.50
66.00
Above 9.5 million
4%
▼ 1
7¢
$14.29
377
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Coinbase Fined Again in Ireland, This Time $3.6M Over Fund SafeguardingDecrypt · 3 days agoCoinbase’s Irish arm has been fined roughly $3.6 million by the Central Bank of Ireland for failing to properly protect customer funds, the regulator’s second enforcement action against the exchange’s European operations in less than a…
Central bank fines Coinbase Ireland $3.6 million over fund safeguarding failures@coindesk · 3 days agoCoinbase Ireland was hit with a 3.25 million-euro ($3.6 million) fine from the country’s central bank over alleged breaches of its safeguarding and outsourcing obligations. The Irish division of cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase Global…
Stablecoin Payments Scale Up: Coinbase-Thunes Partnershiponesafe.io · 15 h agoThis isn’t another pilot. It’s a production-ready integration that gives businesses, DAOs, and startups a shortcut to settle payments in stablecoins while tapping into a last-mile network that already reaches millions of endpoints. For any…
What the Coinbase-Thunes Deal Means for Stablecoin Paymentsonesafe.io · 15 h agoThe table below gives a worked example using approximate median costs observed across recent cross-border corridor studies (see the Spark.money analysis of stablecoin vs. traditional costs, and the Federal Reserve note on cross-border…
Coinbase Ireland Fine Under Fire: What the New Findings Mean@GlobalCryptoTV · 23 h agoThe Coinbase Ireland fine is a warning about a basic duty in finance: customer money must be protected and tracked correctly. Ireland’s Central Bank announced a €3,252,618 penalty on October 22. The case covers historic safeguarding and…
Bitcoin – Why Coinbase warns BTC could fall to $75K amid macro risksAMBCrypto · 20 h agoCoinbase is cautiously optimistic about Bitcoin’s [BTC] near-term, flagging that the macro headwind could drag the crypto asset below $80K. In its weekly market review, Coinbase Senior Quantitative Strategist Colin Basco flagged sticky…
1-year Coinbase Maturity Dave BIP-110⚡️ (@davelund_) on XX (formerly Twitter) · 21 h agoCan’t wait for a reaction video to this panel by any or all of these Bitcoiners: @jdwagner17 @keyandchain21 @Abel_XL @MythicalPleb @GregTonoski #BIP110 #BLAKE2b #XBT 1-year Coinbase Maturity Dave BIP-110⚡️ on X: "Can’t wait for a reaction…
Coinbase Derivatives pauses futures trading for up to nine hours of maintenanceCrypto Briefing · 34 h agoThe scheduled outage hit futures and perpetual futures as Coinbase joined an industry-wide disaster recovery test Coinbase Derivatives switched off futures and perpetual futures trading for a scheduled maintenance window expected to last…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions