Chipotle comparable sales growth in 2026

Kalshi Finance › Companies Closes May 3, 2027 · $2.2K today · $7K traded · $4.1K at stake · prices read 16 min ago

The odds

1.51%median

-1%5%

Median 1.51%Middle half 1.08% – 2.15%

How the odds have moved

Median: 0.78% on Oct 28, 1.51% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Above -0.5%	97%	▲ 1	96¢	97¢	$1.03	1.3K
Above 0.0%	96%	▲ 1	95¢	96¢	$1.04	1.3K
Above 0.5%	95%		94¢	95¢	$1.05	1.2K
Above 1.0%	80%		79¢	80¢	$1.25	2.3K
Above 1.5%	51%	▲ 2	50¢	51¢	$1.96	2.1K
Above 2.0%	34%	▲ 5	33¢	34¢	$2.94	149
Above 2.5%	5%	▼ 7	4¢	5¢	$20.00	5.0K
Above 3.0%	3%		2¢	3¢	$33.33	3.8K
Above 3.5%	3%	▼ 1	2¢	3¢	$33.33	7.0K
Above 4.0%	3%		2¢	3¢	$33.33	359
Above 4.5%	2%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	566

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Chipotle

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Options Action: Chipotle options reverse courseCNBC · 2 days agoCNBC’s Oliver Renick joins ‘Squawk on the Street' to discuss the latest Options Action. Got a confidential news tip? We want to hear from you. Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered ... Options Action: Chipotle options…
Stocks making the biggest moves midday: ADT, Alphabet, Caterpillar, Eli Lilly, Chipotle & moreCNBC · 26 h agoADT – The home security stock soared about 34% after ADT said it will be acquired by Thrive Holdings in an all-cash $15.3 billion transaction. The deal is expected to close in the first quarter of ...
Chipotle earnings miss estimates, but same-store sales increaseCNBC · 45 h agoChipotle Mexican Grill reported same-store sales growth for the third quarter despite consumer fears about foodborne illness. CNBC's Brandon Gomez has the details. Chipotle earnings miss estimates, but same-store sales increase
Chipotle misses on earning, meets Wall Street expectations on revenueCNBC · 45 h agoCNBC's Brandon Gomez joins 'Closing Bell Overtime' with Chipotle quarterly results Got a confidential news tip? We want to hear from you. Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to ... Chipotle misses on earning, meets…
Stocks making the biggest moves after hours: Alphabet, Microsoft, Chipotle, ServiceNow, Fortinet & moreCNBC · 45 h agoHere are some of the companies making headlines in extended trading.
Chipotle stock soars after chain reveals menu price increases will reach 3% in fourth quarter as costs climbNew York Post · 20 h agoChipotle shares surged nearly 9% Thursday after the burrito-and-bowl chain reported improving sales and revealed roughly 3% menu price hikes in the fourth quarter amid rising beef, freight and labor costs. The fast-casual giant has been…
Chipotle Mexican Grill is about to report earnings. Here's what to expectCNBC · 46 h agoChipotle Mexican Grill is about to report its quarterly earnings after the bell on Wednesday. Here's what Wall Street is expecting the company to report, based on a survey of analysts from LSEG: Wall Street is projecting that the burrito…
Why Did Chipotle Stock Jump?Trefis · 7 h agoChipotle Topped Sales Estimates As Transactions Rose Chipotle’s third-quarter revenue reached $3,293 million, a little above the $3,287 million analysts expected. Adjusted earnings per share came in at $0.27, below the $0.29 estimate. The…
Why Chipotle Stock Popped TodayThe Motley Fool · 20 h agoShares of Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG +8.88%) climbed more than 8% on Thursday after CEO Scott Boatwright said the restaurant giant's plan to reinvigorate growth was working. Chipotle's revenue rose 9.6% year over year to $3.3 billion in…
Chipotle's $32 Floor: Is a Major Stock Rebound Coming?MarketBeat · 5 h agoChipotle Mexican Grill NYSE: CMG faces obstacles, but its Q3 results confirmed resilience, cementing the price floor set by analysts. The floor is $32, which aligns with the lowest price target tracked by MarketBeat and with long-term…
CHIPOTLE INTRODUCES ITS REAL INGREDIENTS TO KUWAITMediaRoom · 16 h agoBack to News Releases Expanding AccessTo simplify its ordering experience for new guests, the Kuwait restaurant in The Avenues Mall offers three ordering methods: Unveiling a New DesignThe new location in Kuwait is the first Chipotle…
Chipotle’s BOGO barrage is paying offRestaurant Business · 30 h agoChipotle’s recruitment of industry veteran Fernando Machado as chief brand officer seems to be paying off so far. Machado, who officially came on board June 1, spent over seven years as chief marketing officer at Restaurant Brands…

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Finance › Companies

Chipotle headcount in fiscal 2026

137,000median

98,000142,000

Median 137,000Middle half 132,833 – 139,765

Finance › Companies

Chipotle total restaurant count in 2026

4,383median

4,2904,430

Median 4,383Middle half 4,377 – 4,406

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NVIDIA3%▼ 80
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Broadcom<1%
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2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

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NVIDIA95%▲ 81
Apple5%▼ 78
Microsoft<1%

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onFiscal.ai

Trading closesMay 3, 2027 1:00 AM ET

Traded$7K (24,968 contracts)

Today$2.2K

This week$7K

At stake$4.1K

In the news12 headlines today, 79 this week

Followed here sinceOct 27, 2026

The rules

If Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc. reports above -0.5% comparable restaurant sales growth in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Prices it is about

Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.CMG · about the company32.12+2.67%

From 4Search Finance. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions