Chipotle total restaurant count in Q3 (total restaurant count in Q3 2026)
4,266median
4,2404,330
Median 4,266Middle half 4,261 – 4,272
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Chipotle comparable restaurant sales increase in Q3 (comparable restaurant sales increase in Q3 2026)
The odds
1.58%median
-2%6%
Median 1.58%Middle half 0.48% – 2.51%
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.28% on Oct 20, 1.58% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above -1% | 92% | 87¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 293 | |
| Above 0% | 85% | 80¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | 358 | |
| Above 1% | 64% | 59¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 922 | |
| Above 2% | 40% | ▲ 1 | 35¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | 1.8K |
| Above 3% | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 198 | |
| Above 4% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 15.00 | ||
| Above 5% | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 3.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Chipotle
Search ›-
Chipotle Mexican Grill Unveils Limited-Edition Big Ass Chipotle Bag to Celebrate Family MealsPublished on 10/13/2026 at 09:20 am EDT Chipotle Mexican Grill gave its iconic to-go bag a Big Ass upgrade. The limited-edition Big Ass Chipotle Bag is a larger-than-life take on a brand staple, created to celebrate Family Meals… -
What Could Chipotle Stock Be Worth In Three Years?For questions about this article or underlying research, email [email protected]. Chipotle Stock Could Gain About 10% In Three Years Higher revenue drives the gain, adding about 19% as Chipotle sells more food across its restaurants. A… -
Why Chipotle (CMG) stock is trading lower todayTradingView Why Chipotle (CMG) stock is trading lower today Shares of mexican fast-food chain Chipotle What is the market telling us Chipotle’s shares are not very volatile and have only had 9 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In… - What Are Chipotle Investors Betting On?Chipotle Investors Expect Profit To Grow Faster Than Sales Profit outpaces sales in this projection because the forecast has Chipotle keeping more of each dollar. The model assumes a fiscal 2027 net margin of 12.8%, compared with 11.9% for…
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Chipotle Sinks 4.1% on TD Cowen Downgrade: “Lackluster Start to Q4”Oleksandr Prokopenko and IncrediVFX from Getty Images via Canva Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) stock fell 4.1% today after TD Cowen downgraded it to Hold from Buy and cut its price target to $32 from $44. The odd part? TD Cowen thinks next… -
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. $CMG Stock Bought by Nisa Investment Advisors LLCPosted by Sarita Garza on Oct 22nd, 2026 Here are the key news stories impacting Chipotle Mexican Grill this week: View Our Latest Report on CMG Shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill stock opened at $28.11 on Thursday. Chipotle Mexican Grill… -
Chipotle shares hit lowest since January 2023 as RSI enters oversold territoryChipotle shares hit oversold territory after a sharp drop on sales slowdown fears ahead of Oct. 28 earnings. Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) shares fell to their lowest level since January 2023, pushing the stock’s relative strength index… -
TD Cowen downgrades Chipotle, cuts target on soft October salesInvesting.com -- TD Cowen downgraded Chipotle Mexican Grill to Hold from Buy and cut its price target to $32 from $44 in a note on Wednesday. Analyst Andrew Charles warned that alternative data points to a lackluster start to the fourth… - Deutsche Bank Adjusts Chipotle Mexican Grill Price Target to $45 From $51Chipotle Mexican Grill has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $42.84, according to analysts polled by FactSet. ... Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Deutsche Bank Adjusts Chipotle Mexican Grill Price Target to $45 From $51…
- Raymond James Adjusts Price Target on Chipotle Mexican Grill to $37 From $42.50Chipotle Mexican Grill has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $43.68, according to analysts polled by FactSet. ... Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Raymond James Adjusts Price Target on Chipotle Mexican Grill to $37 From…
- Chipotle Q3 Results Expected to Show Continued Sales Recovery, BofA Securities SaysChipotle Mexican Grill's Q3 earnings report is expected to show continued sales recovery adjusted for the roughly 200 basis points drag from the Cyclospora outbreak and an incremental 100 bps drag... Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Chipotle…
- Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE:CMG) Stock Price Down 4.8% After Analyst DowngradePosted by Mitch Edgeman on Oct 21st, 2026 View Our Latest Report on Chipotle Mexican Grill Here are the key news stories impacting Chipotle Mexican Grill this week: The firm has a market capitalization of $35.76 billion, a…
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Gemini App Downloads in October 2026
214.8high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 214.8.
- Reaches 3599%
- Reaches 5099%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.