CMA Awards: Album of the Year (Album of the Year | 2026)
67%Dandelion
- Dandelion67%▲ 4
- The Way I Am19%▼ 3
- Parker McCollum8%▼ 2
3 more
- Middle of Nowhere4%▲ 1
- Ain’t In It For My Health2%▼ 1
- Tie2%
Install
CMA Awards: Song of the Year (Song of the Year | 2026)
The odds
85%Choosin’ Texas
- Choosin’ Texas85%▼ 4
- Be Her5%▲ 1
- Beautiful Things2%
- Dry Spell2%
- Gary2%▲ 1
- Tie2%
How the odds have moved
Choosin’ Texas: 91% on Oct 19, 85% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 25, 8 AM ETChoosin’ Texas: 91% → 85%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Choosin’ Texas | 85% | ▼ 4 | 83¢ | 92¢ | $1.09 | 921 |
| Be Her | 5% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | 529 |
| Beautiful Things | 2% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 46.00 | ||
| Dry Spell | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 36.00 | |
| Gary | 2% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | $20.00 | 568 | |
| Tie | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 239 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CMA Awards, Choosin’ Texas, Be Her
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Ella Langley – Choosin' TexasElla Langley turns a simple two-step into the biggest song in America with “Choosin’ Texas,” a track that has completely dominated the charts since its release. The song arrived on October 17, 2025, as part of her album “Dandelion,” and it… -
Why Ella Langley Chose Kaitlin Butts to Play the Mean Girl in Her ‘Choosin’ Texas’ Video [Exclusive]Kaitlin Butts isn't scared of a fight. During a recent conversation with Taste of Country, the singer admitted that it's kind of a running joke in her touring band that she won't let bad behavior slide. She doesn't start conflict, she… -
Why Ella Langley Cast Kaitlin Butts in ‘Choosin’ Texas’ VideoLangley knew that Kaitlin Butts would be good at playing the mean girl. Continue reading… Why Ella Langley Cast Kaitlin Butts in ‘Choosin’ Texas’ Video Langley knew that Kaitlin Butts would be good at playing the mean girl. Continue… -
Choosin’ Texas: Eli Lilly breaks ground at Houston oral GLP-1 manufacturing siteThe Lone Star State will host one of ten planned facilities in the US by the pharmaceutical conglomerate. Earlier this week, Eli Lilly announced it broke ground on a large site in Houston, Texas. The location will be one of ten US… -
Ella Langley’s ‘Choosin’ Texas’ Matches Mariah Carey’s 26-Week Streaming RecordCountry music continues to hold a strong presence on the streaming charts, with Ella Langley’s Choosin’ Texas maintaining its position among the most-played songs in the United States. The single has now spent 26 weeks at No. 1 on… -
Ella Langley’s ‘Choosin’ Texas’ Ties Mariah Carey for Most Weeks Atop Streaming Songs ChartBoth "Choosin' Texas" and "All I Want for Christmas Is You" have spent 26 weeks at No. 1. Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas” ties Mariah Carey’s “All I Want for Christmas Is You” for the most weeks at No. 1 on Billboard’s Streaming Songs… - Taylor Swift On George Strait: 2008 CMA Awards quote lands with dry humorTaylor Swift on George Strait starts with a backstage meeting and ends with a quote that still does the work. At the 2008 CMA Awards in Nashville, she said he had an “awesome, dry, subtle sense of humour,” after talking to him before…
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A city’s positive growth depends on beautiful things | Paul BaturaLast week’s “State of the City” event at The Broadmoor Hotel looked both backward and forward as officials presented a portrait of Colorado Springs, a historic town shaped by its storied past and poised to step confidently into the future… -
'Choosin' Texas' turns one as Ella Langley reflects on the song that made her country's biggest starElla Langley speaks about her deep appreciation for supporters and how their connection transformed her path during an interview tied to the 2026 iHeartRadio Music Awards held March 26, 2026, in Los Angeles. Ella Langley hopped on social… -
Stepdad jailed for murdering student on her birthdayCarla Georgescu was found dead in her student flat in February A man who was "sexually obsessed" with his stepdaughter has been jailed for a minimum of 34 years for murdering her at her university flat on her 20th birthday. Nathan Owens… -
Elizabeth Holmes film enthralls — but her legacy haunts scienceTheranos, the failed blood-testing company founded by Elizabeth Holmes, claimed that its device could run hundreds of tests on a few drops of blood.Credit: HBO Documentary Films/Everett Collection You Can See Everything chronicles the… -
WATCH: Ilhan Omar sets record straight on her name amid conflicting reportsRep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., told Fox News Digital that her real name is "Ilhan Adbullahi Omar" after a federal court filing identified the embattled congresswoman under the name "Ilhan Nur Said Elmi." (Credit: Rashid Umar Abbasi for Fox News…
Related markets
All awards ›CMA Awards: Entertainer of the Year (Entertainer of the Year | 2026)
86%Ella Langley
- Ella Langley86%▲ 6
- Lainey Wilson6%
- Luke Combs5%▲ 2
3 more
- Tie2%
- Cody Johnson2%▲ 1
- Chris Stapleton1%
CMA Awards: Musician of the Year (Musician of the Year | 2026)
45%Paul Franklin
- Paul Franklin45%▲ 1
- Charlie Worsham35%▼ 2
- Jenee Fleenor10%▲ 2
3 more
- Tom Bukovac4%
- Rob McNelley4%
- Tie2%
CMA Awards: Single of the Year (Single of the Year | 2026)
84%Choosin’ Texas
- Choosin’ Texas84%▲ 1
- Somewhere Over Laredo10%▲ 1
- Be Her3%
3 more
- I Knew It, I Knew You2%
- The Fall2%
- Tie2%
CMA Awards: Female Vocalist of the Year (Female Vocalist of the Year | 2026)
79%Ella Langley
- Ella Langley79%
- Lainey Wilson14%▼ 1
- Miranda Lambert2%
3 more
- Kacey Musgraves2%▲ 1
- Megan Moroney2%
- Tie2%
CMA Awards: Musical Event of the Year (Musical Event of the Year | 2026)
39%A Song To Sing
- A Song To Sing39%
- I Can’t Love You Anymore38%▲ 2
- Horses and Divorces12%
3 more
- McArthur5%▼ 1
- If I Don’t Leave I’m Gonna Stay4%
- Tie3%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions