AI bubble burst by...?
27%June 30, 2027
- December 31, 20268%▼ 2
- June 30, 202727%▲ 2
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When will David Solomon leave as Goldman Sachs CEO? (Before Jan 1, 2029)
The odds
Oct 19, 2028even chance by
- Before Jul 1, 20278%▼ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202822%▼ 1
- Before Jul 1, 202842%▼ 1
- Before Jan 1, 202956%
How the odds have moved
Before Jul 1, 2027: 9% on Nov 2, 8% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 8% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 22% | ▼ 1 | 18¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | |
| Before Jul 1, 2028 | 42% | ▼ 1 | 38¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 56% | 51¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 2.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Goldman Sachs CEO, David Solomon
Search ›- ‘Don't be in a hurry’: Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon shares grandmother's career adviceThe head of Goldman Sachs, one of Wall Street's most influential investment banks, says one of the most valuable lessons he learnt about his career came from his grandmother. Her advice, which she gave him when he was in his twenties, was…
- Morgan Stanley CEO: AI Spend of $1 Trillion a Year Is Only the “Second or Third Inning”JayLazarin from Getty Images Signature, Vertigo3d from Getty Images Signature via Canva Morgan Stanley (MS) CEO Ted Pick just put a price tag on the AI build-out, and it’s welcome news for NVIDIA (NVDA) shareholders still licking their…
- Goldman Sachs buries DEI metrics as it names biggest partner class since 2010Goldman Sachs is burying the diversity metrics of its newest partner class — blaming a changed legal environment as it swells its elite ranks to a 16-year high to fight off defections. The Wall Street giant led by CEO David Solomon tapped…
- Week Ahead: U.S. Midterms; U.S. Treasury QRA; BOE, RBA, Riksbank and BCB Meetings; U.S. and Canada Jobs Reports; Eurozone, Swiss and SK CPIs; ECB Wage Tracker; Middle East TensionsFrom U.S. midterm elections and the U.S. jobs report to a wave of central bank decisions led by the BOE and RBA and a few inflation reports, here’s what you need to know for the week ahead. 🛢️ On Sunday, OPEC+ countries, including Saudi…
- Banks brace for tighter oversight from US Congress after Democrats sweepBy Nupur Anand, Tatiana Bautzer and Michelle Price NEW YORK, Nov 5 (Reuters) – Wall Street banks were bracing on Wednesday for heightened scrutiny after Democrats took control of the US Congress, with executives and analysts predicting…
- OpenAI Hires Former US Army Secretary for National Security RoleDriscoll will join OpenAI as senior counselor for national security and will "advise on how advanced AI can strengthen national and cyber security," according to a company statement. "I'm joining OpenAI to help the United States and our…
- Wall Street CEOs split over AI risks at Hong Kong summitPimco and Bain Capital warned about AI spending and valuations, while Morgan Stanley and Blackstone stayed upbeat. Top bankers and fund managers gave clashing views on the risks of the AI boom on Tuesday, at an investment summit in Hong…
- Morgan Stanley says AI development could require US$10–US$15 trillion over the next decadeMorgan Stanley’s chairman and chief executive, Ted Pick, estimates that artificial intelligence development could require US$10 trillion (HK$78 trillion) to US$15 trillion in capital over the next decade to drive real gross domestic…
- Big-ticket tech deals need to keep pace with AI boom but risks remain high, financial leaders sayWords reading "Artificial intelligence AI", miniature of robot and toy hand are pictured in this illustration taken December 14, 2023. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration HONG KONG, Nov 3 : Tech companies will need to raise more capital to…
- SpaceX, Anthropic IPOs highlight growing clout of retail investors, say Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley CEOsThe offerings’ reception reflects the appetite for quality companies, notes Goldman Sachs’ David Solomon [HONG KONG] Deep pools of capital and increasingly sophisticated retail investors are helping to drive demand for mega initial public…
- Global Tech Giants Face Funding Pressure Amid Rising AI Infrastructure InvestmentsHONG KONG, Nov 3: Global technology companies are expected to seek substantially more funding to support the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence infrastructure, but growing concerns over investment costs and uncertain returns are…
- Blackstone president calls for big-ticket tech deals to fund AI boomJon Gray, however, cautioned that higher capital costs and growing investor scepticism could moderate the pace of investment. Global technology companies will need to pursue more large-scale fundraising deals to finance the artificial…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions