Largest Company end of December 2026?
60%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA60%▲ 2
- Apple38%▼ 1
- Alphabet1%
5 more
- Microsoft1%
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
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Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO this year? (2026)
The odds
3%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 4% on Oct 19, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 3% | 5¢ | $20.00 | 11.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Anthropic, Claude, Dario Amodei
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Trump issues AI, data center position; Anthropic CEO defends safety record, sales to China | Live Updates from Fox News DigitalArtificial superintelligence companies are facing heavy scrutiny amid the midterm elections as Congress leaders weigh regulatory action, public safety checks and moral and ethical reviews of their cutting-edge work. Anthropic CEO Dario… -
SpaceX CEO Elon Musk is 'one of one': Will the market give Anthropic's Dario Amodei the same leeway?In the battle of big-name tech founders, SpaceX (SPCX) and Tesla (TSLA) CEO Elon Musk is in a class of his own. Anthropic (ANTH.PVT) CEO Dario Amodei is a visionary too, pros say, but he's not on Musk's level. That distinction could be… - Anthropic CEO downplays bill proposal in response to backlash from AI safety groups | InsideDefense.comDraft legislation Anthropic's government affairs team has been circulating to lawmakers may have been a "mistake," according to Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei, who in a long post responding to a prominent AI safety advocate dismissed it as…
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Dario Amodei admits Anthropic made mistakes in race to the top| I am of course the CEO, & I take responsibility | Inshorts Inshorts Dario Amodei admits Anthropic made mistakes in race to the top Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei has acknowledged that the company made mistakes while defending its AI safety… -
Eric Schmidt reportedly owns about half as much of Anthropic as CEO Dario AmodeiBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. Eric Schmidt’s fortune is about to get even bigger. The former Google CEO is reported to own about 1% of Anthropic after investing tens of millions of dollars in the… -
Ken Griffin Warns AI Will Eliminate White-Collar Jobs as Anthropic’s Dario Amodei Defends the Race to the TopCitadel founder Ken Griffin has warned that AI will threaten white-collar jobs, even as he suggests that his own firms are positioned differently. Meanwhile, Anthropic chief executive Dario Amodei has defended the need to continue… -
Experts cast doubt on Anthropic report detailing how AI has altered work at the companyAnthropic claims AI will shift how work gets done and labor demand – but some experts are skeptical of the vision Last year, Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei warned that artificial intelligence could eliminate half of entry-level white-collar… -
Dario Amodei says Anthropic held Mythos back for four months for safetyAnswering a critic on X, Dario Amodei listed nine costly safety calls behind Anthropic’s race to the top. He also conceded the company could have handled some of the criticism better. Anthropic chief executive Dario Amodei has defended the… -
Anthropic’s Financial Situation May Explain Why Dario Amodei Looks So Terrified All the TimePublished Oct 22, 2026 8:40 AM EDT New reporting by the Wall Street Journal revealed the mounting costs for the AI lab, which ballooned to a net loss of $80 billion in the first six months of 2026. Anthropic’s losses for the same period a… - American AI billionaire Dario Amodei's Anthropic posts $16.3 billion first-half revenueDario Amodei's Anthropic grew revenue nearly fifteenfold in the first half, its draft IPO filing shows, ahead of a listing that could top $1.5 trillion. Anthropic PBC, the artificial intelligence company run by American billionaire Dario…
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Anthropic CEO Says Company Held Back a Frontier Model for Four Months in Response to Safety CriticismAnthropic chief executive Dario Amodei said the company kept a finished frontier model out of general release for roughly four months to finish building network-security safeguards, a disclosure aimed at rebutting critics who argue its… -
Dario Amodei's AI Safety Warning Is Colliding With Anthropic's IPO TimelineAnthropic CEO Dario Amodei has warned repeatedly in recent months that artificial intelligence (AI) models could advance faster than the safeguards needed to control them. Yet Anthropic is still reportedly aiming to conduct its initial…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions