CA-04 House winner? (2026)
74%Mike Thompson
- Mike Thompson74%▼ 2
- Eric Jones26%▼ 1
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CA-14 House winner? (2026)
The odds
91%Aisha Wahab
- Aisha Wahab91%▼ 1
- Melissa Hernandez10%▲ 1
How the odds have moved
Aisha Wahab: 92% on Oct 20, 91% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aisha Wahab | 91% | ▼ 1 | 90¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 32.3K |
| Melissa Hernandez | 10% | ▲ 1 | 9¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 36.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Aisha Wahab, Melissa Hernandez
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Letters: Aisha Wahab’s deft handling of Taliban jab shows mettleRe: “Wahab and Hernandez clash over funds, more” (Page B1, Oct. 9). Congresswoman Aisha Wahab remained as composed as anyone could be after the racist jab, allowing Melissa Hernandez’s statement to speak for itself. Based on the crowd’s… -
Crypto Enters CA14 Race With $362,000 Ad Buy for Wahab—A cryptocurrency industry-backed political action committee is spending $362,000 to support Rep. Aisha Wahab’s bid for a full two-year term in Congress next month. Protect Progress, a super PAC affiliated with Fairshake, which is backed… -
Crypto PAC Drops $362K in California Race as August Vote NearsProtect Progress, an affiliate of the crypto-focused super PAC Fairshake, is drawing fresh scrutiny after filing with the U.S. Federal Election Commission showed it spent $362,000 on advertisements supporting incumbent Democrat Aisha Wahab… -
Crypto PAC pours $362K into California race voters essentially decided in AugustA Fairshake affiliate is supporting incumbent Aisha Wahab through ads in November, but the congresswoman already won a special election in the district. Protect Progress, an affiliate of the cryptocurrency-aligned Fairshake super political… -
Crypto PAC Donates $362K to California Race Ahead of August VoteProtect Progress, an affiliate of the crypto-focused Fairshake political action committee (PAC), disclosed fresh advertising spending on a California House contest—weeks after the candidate it backed won a special election against the same… -
Letters: Hernandez’s Taliban slur against Wahab must cost her supportI strongly urge voters and public officials to rescind endorsements of Hernandez. Our congresswoman should represent the values of our district: acceptance and kindness. Aisha Wahab has carried herself with grace throughout this ordeal… -
Fremont: 3 Candidates Battle To Become New District 4 CouncilmemberIn the upcoming Nov. 3 election, Fremont's District 4 voters will elect a new City Council representative from three candidates as incumbent Yang Shao's second consecutive term ends. Mental health advocate Manisha Pathak, Alameda County… -
Caesar To U.S.: 'Et tu, America?"Politics > Leftists Link copied Eric Utter | October 15, 2026 A follow-up to my recent post, “How Did It Come To This": California Gov. Gavin “Slick” Newsom recently signed AB 2017 into law. The bill was proposed by Congresswoman Aisha… -
Her congressional bid was already faltering. Then she accused her Afghan opponent of ‘communications with the Taliban'Melissa Hernandez's campaign for Congress could have faded quietly after she lost an August special election to fellow Democrat Aisha Wahab. But instead, in the final weeks of a race to fill the seat vacated by Eric Swalwell for a full… -
AIPAC's millions of dollars meet limits in US electionsWednesday October 14, 2026 The American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), one of the most prominent pro-Israel advocacy organisations in US politics, has faced setbacks in recent election campaigns despite spending millions of… -
Dublin mayoral candidate vows to problem solve if electedDublin resident, researcher and author Kiran Mohammad loves her city, but she sees one major issue with its local government. Dublin, she said, boasts a promising future with little to no follow through on current projects like the design… - Endorsement Cheat Sheet: Mercury News and East Bay Times Editorial Boards’ top picks for California’s Nov. 3 general electionHere are our endorsements, so far, for California’s Nov. 3 General Election. Read our editorials about the most important elections and initiatives on Bay Area voters’ ballots. Bookmark this page to view additional endorsements as they are…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.