How high will Brazil inflation get this year? (Before 2027)

Kalshi Economy › Inflation Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $6.4K traded · $1.5K at stake · prices read 18 min ago

The odds

5.01%high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 5.01%.

Reaches 4.75%88%
Reaches 5%52%
Reaches 5.25%14%
Reaches 5.5%5%
Reaches 5.75%3%
Reaches 6%3%
Reaches 6.25%3%
Reaches 6.5%1%

How the odds have moved

Reaches 4.75%: 85% on Oct 20, 88% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Above 4.75%	88%		86¢	90¢	$1.11	4.6K
Above 5.00%	52%		51¢	52¢	$1.92	3.8K
Above 5.25%	14%	▼ 1	12¢	17¢	$5.88	1.3K
Above 5.50%	5%		3¢	7¢	$14.29	1.6K
Above 5.75%	3%			5¢	$20.00	2.7K
Above 6.00%	3%			5¢	$20.00	1.3K
Above 6.25%	3%			5¢	$20.00	2.0K
Above 6.50%	1%			2¢	$50.00	1.4K
Above 6.75%	1%			1¢	$100.00	589
Above 7.00%	1%			1¢	$100.00	49.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: inflation, CPI, consumer prices

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Consumer prices rise 1.16 per cent in first nine months of 2026Macau Business · 28 h agoMacau’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 1.16 per cent in the first nine months of the year compared to the same period in 2025, marking the highest level for the period in six years, official data indicate. According to official…
Brazil consumer prices rise 0.32% in mid-OctoberStevens Point · 2 days agoSAO PAULO, Oct 23 (Reuters) - Brazil's IPCA-15 consumer price index ‌rose 0.32% in the month to mid-October, down from ‌0.70% in ⁠the previous month, ⁠government statistics agency IBGE said on Friday. The index had been expected to…
BREAKING NEWS: Japan's core consumer prices in Sept. rise 2.1% on yearJapan Wire by Kyodo News · 3 days agoRead full story here Japan agency cancels mistakenly issued M9.9 quake alert, transit disrupted Weather agency confirms year's 30th typhoon, 1st since 2013 Vulnerabilities found in widely used PHP programming language Newcomer Harasawa…
BREAKING NEWS: Japan's core consumer prices rise 2.0% or more for 1st time since Dec. 2025Japan Wire by Kyodo News · 3 days agoRead full story here Japan agency cancels mistakenly issued M9.9 quake alert, transit disrupted Weather agency confirms year's 30th typhoon, 1st since 2013 Vulnerabilities found in widely used PHP programming language Newcomer Harasawa…
Producer prices are up 6.3%. Consumer prices only 3.7%. This chart shows who eats the gap | FXStreetشبكة تواصل الإخبارية · 3 days agoشبكة تواصل الإخبارية The Producer Price Index rose 6.3% in the year to September and the Consumer Price Index 3.7%, the widest gap since 2022. Inside the S&P 500, energy and technology companies collect the difference, the rest pay it, and…
Morocco’s consumer prices rise in September, driven by food and fuel@yabiladi_fr · 3 days agoMorocco’s consumer price index rose 1% in September 2026 compared with August, driven by a 1.6% increase in food prices and a 0.4% rise in non-food prices, according to the High Commission for Planning (HCP). Meat and vegetable prices each…
Japan National Consumer Price Index (YoY) climbed from previous 1.9% to 2.1% in SeptemberFXStreet · 3 days agoUSD/JPY rebounds from the 156.00 neighborhood, or a one-month low touched during Friday’s Asian session, with bulls looking to extend momentum beyond 157.00 amid the emergence of some US Dollar buying. Meanwhile, Japan's National CPI rose…
Morocco Consumer Prices Rise 1.0% in September 2026@indexbox · 3 days agoMorocco's consumer price index increased 1.0% in September 2026 compared with the previous month, according to the High Commission for Planning. The agency reported that the monthly gain reflected a 1.6% rise in the food index and a 0.4%…
US Inflation Latest News: September CPI Rises 3.7% as Core Inflation Beats Forecasts, S&P 500 Futures Fall and Treasury Yields Jump – Check Fed Rate Decision OutlookThe Sunday Guardian · 31 h agoUS Inflation Latest News: American consumers are facing renewed pressure from rising prices, while financial markets are reassessing what the latest inflation figures mean for interest rates. September’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report…
Hong Kong SAR Consumer Price Index registered at 1.7%, below expectations (1.8%) in SeptemberFXStreet · 4 days agoComposed of a group of economic journalists and FX experts, the FXStreet content team produces and oversees all content published on FXStreet. It provides a purely journalistic approach to the Forex market. Find independent, trusted…
Food inflation steady as fuel costs drive rise in consumer pricesThe Grocer · 5 days agoFood price inflation has remained mild for several months as supermarkets compete for market share Inflation rose above market estimates to reach 3.5% in September, as fuel and transport costs surged two points to 6.6%. However, food price…

Related markets

All inflation ›

Economy › Inflation

US economic state at the end of 2026?

98%Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)

Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)98%▲ 8
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)1%▼ 9
Slack (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation <3.5%)<1%▼ 1

1 more

Stagflation (Unemployment ≥5.0%, Inflation ≥3.5%)<1%

Economy › Inflation

October Inflation China - Annual

0.77%median

0.5%1.4%

Median 0.77%Middle half 0.7% – 0.95%

Economy › Inflation

Argentina Monthly Inflation - October

1.79%median

1%3.3%

Median 1.79%Middle half 1.69% – 2.02%

Economy › Inflation

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.25%median

2.51%7.49%

Median 5.25%Middle half 5.04% – 5.47%

Economy › Inflation

CPI in October (Oct 2026)

0.23%median

-0.2%1.1%

Median 0.23%Middle half 0.16% – 0.29%

Economy › Inflation

CPI-U index in October (October 2026)

336.5median

334.1337.8

Median 336.5

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onTrading Economics

Trading closesJan 1, 2027 8:29 AM ET

Traded$6.4K (19,379 contracts)

This week$385

At stake$1.5K

In the news66 headlines today, 1,328 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If any Brazil annual inflation rate print is above 4.75% before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions