#2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Oct 31, 2026?

Kalshi Culture › Music Closes today 11:59 PM ET · $1.7K today · $2.2K traded · $456 at stake · prices read 7 min ago

The odds

13%Choosin' Texas
  • Choosin' Texas13%▲ 11
  • Patient Zero4%▲ 3
  • BE HER2%▲ 1
  • LAST THING YOU NEED2%▲ 1
  • Nicole Kidman1%▲ 1
  • Boston1%
  • Been By Now1%
  • Solar Eclipse1%
  • hate that i made you love me1%
  • stupid song1%
  • BbY WOW1%
  • Quebec1%
6 more
  • I Just Might1%
  • Babydoll1%
  • Risk It All1%
  • Midnight Sun1%
  • LOVING LIFE AGAIN1%
  • Earrings1%

How the odds have moved

Choosin' Texas: 2% on Oct 20, 13% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 23, 8 PM ETChoosin' Texas: 58% → 13%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Choosin' Texas 13% ▲ 11 2¢ 14¢ $7.14 3.9K
Patient Zero 4% ▲ 3 8¢ $12.50 1.2K
BE HER 2% ▲ 1 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 36.0K
LAST THING YOU NEED 2% ▲ 1 3¢ $33.33 58.2K
Nicole Kidman 1% ▲ 1 2¢ $50.00 2.4K
Boston 1% 1¢ $100.00 144
Been By Now 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
Solar Eclipse 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
hate that i made you love me 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
stupid song 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
BbY WOW 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
Quebec 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
I Just Might 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
Babydoll 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
Risk It All 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00
Midnight Sun 1% 1¢ $100.00 871
LOVING LIFE AGAIN 1% 1¢ $100.00 14.5K
Earrings 1% 1¢ $100.00 50.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Billboard Hot, Choosin' Texas, Patient Zero

Search ›

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All music ›

Junior Eurovision Winner 2026

99%Armenia
  • Armenia99%▲ 56
  • Albania<1%▼ 1
  • Azerbaijan<1%▼ 1
15 more
  • Croatia<1%▼ 2
  • Cyprus<1%▼ 4
  • France<1%▼ 13
  • Georgia<1%▼ 6
  • Ireland<1%▼ 14
  • Italy<1%▼ 1
  • Malta<1%▼ 22
  • Montenegro<1%▼ 2
  • Netherlands<1%▼ 2
  • North Macedonia<1%▼ 9
  • Poland<1%▼ 7
  • Portugal<1%▼ 1
  • San Marino<1%▼ 4
  • Spain<1%▼ 25
  • Ukraine<1%▼ 16

Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner(s) (2027)

78%JAY-Z
  • JAY-Z78%▼ 9
  • Beyoncé25%▲ 13
  • Miley Cyrus11%▼ 8
54 more
  • Lady Gaga9%▲ 5
  • Taylor Swift7%▲ 1
  • Justin Bieber6%▲ 2
  • Harry Styles5%▼ 3
  • Rihanna4%
  • Kanye West / Ye4%
  • Ariana Grande3%
  • Lil Wayne2%▼ 1
  • Oasis2%
  • Adele2%
  • AC/DC2%
  • BTS2%
  • Imagine Dragons2%
  • Guns N' Roses2%
  • Eagles2%
  • Katy Perry2%
  • Linkin Park2%
  • SZA2%
  • Travis Scott2%
  • Backstreet Boys2%
  • Elton John2%
  • Pink2%
  • Pearl Jam2%
  • Chris Brown2%
  • Christina Aguilera2%
  • Doja Cat2%
  • Megan Thee Stallion2%
  • Ice Spice2%
  • Cynthia Erivo2%
  • Tyler, The Creator2%
  • Tate McRae2%▼ 2
  • Drake2%
  • Billie Eilish2%
  • Foo Fighters2%
  • Lil Baby2%
  • Chappell Roan2%
  • Post Malone2%
  • Dua Lipa2%
  • Metallica2%
  • Sabrina Carpenter2%
  • Morgan Wallen2%▼ 1
  • Karol G2%
  • Green Day2%
  • Coldplay2%
  • Cardi B2%
  • Mariah Carey2%
  • BLACKPINK2%
  • Outkast2%
  • T-Pain2%
  • Ella Langley2%
  • Stevie Wonder2%
  • Sexyy Red1%
  • Ed Sheeran1%
  • Madonna1%
KalshiCloses Feb 15, 2027 · $12.4K today

Billboard Hot 100 #2 Song Week of October 31

76%Housewife - Tate McRae
  • Housewife - Tate McRae76%▼ 17
  • Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley10%▲ 6
  • Patient Zero - Taylor Swift<1%
4 more
  • Boston - Stella Lefty<1%
  • Been By Now - Morgan Wallen<1%
  • Solar Eclipse - Drake & Don Toliver<1%
  • expectations - Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions