Where will it rain on Oct 25, 2026?
25%New York City
00
Install
What will the biggest earthquake be on Oct 26, 2026?
The odds
5.85median
57.20
Median 5.85Middle half 5.53 – 6.28
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magnitude of at least 5.2 | 92% | 89¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | ||
| Magnitude of at least 5.4 | 83% | 78¢ | 87¢ | $1.15 | 37.00 | |
| Magnitude of at least 5.6 | 71% | 67¢ | 75¢ | $1.33 | 52.00 | |
| Magnitude of at least 5.8 | 54% | 49¢ | 59¢ | $1.69 | ||
| Magnitude of at least 6.0 | 39% | 35¢ | 43¢ | $2.33 | ||
| Magnitude of at least 6.2 | 29% | 24¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | ||
| Magnitude of at least 6.4 | 19% | 15¢ | 23¢ | $4.35 | ||
| Magnitude of at least 6.6 | 15% | 11¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | ||
| Magnitude of at least 6.8 | 12% | 7¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | ||
| Magnitude of at least 7.0 | 11% | 6¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | 50.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: earthquake, Worldwide
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Afghanistan Earthquake Today: Earthquake of Magnitude 5.2 Hits Hindu Kush Region – Check Epicentre, Affected Areas and MoreAfghanistan Earthquake Today: An earthquake of magnitude 5.2 happened in Afghanistan’s Hindu Kush region recently, according to the European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre. It happened at a depth of 110 kilometres. Its magnitude was… -
Afghanistan hit by 5.5 magnitude earthquakeAn earthquake of magnitude 5.5 struck Afghanistan at 11.14 pm IST on Saturday, the National Center for Seismology said. Afghanistan hit by 5.5 magnitude earthquake -
A 7.0-magnitude earthquake jolts Japan's Ogasawara IslandsTOKYO: An earthquake with a preliminary magnitude of 7.0 on Sunday (Oct 25) struck waters near the Ogasawara Islands in the Pacific Ocean, south of Tokyo, with no tsunami warnings issued, the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) said. A… -
5.2-magnitude earthquake hits Afghanistan's Hindu Kush regionindiatoday.in is the leading Indian news website specialising in the fastest breaking news that ensures the most reliable news coverage in English. It provides readers with the full spectrum of news of India and the world along with every… -
Tibet Earthquake Today: Magnitude 5.9 Quake Strikes China’s Tibet Region Days After Previous 7.0 Earthquake – Check Epicentre, Affected Areas and MoreTibet Earthquake Today: This evening, China’s Tibet region was pounded with an intense earthquake of 5.9 magnitude according to the China Earthquake Networks Center. According to seismologists, it happened at a depth of 10 kilometres. The… -
Magnitude-7.0 earthquake strike waters near Japan's Ogasawara IslandsTOKYO (Xinhua): An earthquake with a preliminary magnitude of 7.0 on Sunday struck waters near the Ogasawara Islands in the Pacific Ocean, south of Tokyo, with no tsunami warnings issued, the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) said. The… -
Magnitude 4.2 Earthquake Hits NepalTremors Felt In Baitadi And Darchula Districts After Earthquake Struck Sudur Paschim Province; No Immediate Reports Of Damage. An earthquake of magnitude 4.2 struck Nepal's Baitadi district on Sunday, according to the Earthquake Monitoring… -
Magnitude 5.9 earthquake strikes Tibet region: EMSCA magnitude 5.9 earthquake hit Tibet at 9 km depth, with ongoing updates and context on previous regional seismic events. Updated - October 25, 2026 06:19 pm IST The quake was at a depth of 9 km (5 miles), EMSC added. An earthquake of… -
Magnitude 5.7 earthquake strikes China's Qinghai regionAn earthquake of around magnitude 5.6 struck China's Qinghai region, according to the European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre. | World News Magnitude 5.7 earthquake strikes China's Qinghai region An earthquake of around magnitude 5.6… -
Volcanic activity worldwide 25 Oct 2026: Santiaguito volcano, Fuego, Semeru, Karangetang, Ibu, Dukon...Volcanic activity world-wide Volcano Activity Summary for 25 Oct 2026: Eruption warning / minor activity: Support Us – Help Us Enhance Our Services! -
Magnitude 5.2 earthquake strikes Hindu Kush region in Afghanistan, EMSC saysOct 25 (Reuters) - An earthquake measuring 5.2 magnitude struck the Hindu Kush region in Afghanistan on Sunday, the European-Mediterranean Seismological Centre said. EMSC earlier estimated the earthquake at magnitude 5.8, before… -
Magnitude 4.2 earthquake strikes Nepal's Baitadi districtKathmandu, Oct 25 (PTI) An earthquake of magnitude 4.2 struck Nepal’s Baitadi district on Sunday, according to the Earthquake Monitoring and Research Centre. The epicentre of the earthquake, which occurred on Sunday afternoon, was in the…
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Where will it rain this weekend (Oct 24 - Oct 25)? (Oct 24 – Oct 25, 2026)
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions