"All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Dec 12, 2026)
19.3median
5100
Median 19.3Middle half 7.75 – 44.7
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"All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Dec 19, 2026)
The odds
1.61median
1100
Median 1.61Middle half 1.31 – 1.92
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank 1 to 2 | 81% | 69¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 1.6K | |
| Rank 3 to 4 | 5% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 2.2K | |
| Rank 5 to 6 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.5K | |
| Rank 7 to 10 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.5K | |
| Rank 11 to 15 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.6K | |
| Rank 16 to 20 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.6K | |
| Rank 21 to 30 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.6K | |
| Rank 31 to 40 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.5K | |
| Rank 41 to 50 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.5K | |
| Rank 51 to 74 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.5K | |
| Rank 75 to 100 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Christmas Is You, I Want, Billboard Hot
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All music ›"All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Dec 26, 2026)
1.63median
1100
Median 1.63Middle half 1.31 – 1.94
"All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Dec 5, 2026)
5.47median
1100
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"All I Want for Christmas Is You" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Jan 2, 2027)
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"Housewife" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026)
1.53median
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"Thriller" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026)
21.7median
1100
Median 21.7Middle half 17.6 – 26.2
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