Largest Company end of December 2026?
70%Apple
- Apple70%▲ 7
- NVIDIA29%▼ 7
- Microsoft1%▲ 1
5 more
- Alphabet<1%▼ 1
- SpaceX<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Amazon<1%
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Amazon headcount in Q1
The odds
1.64Mmedian
1.52M1.76M
Median 1.64MMiddle half 1.62M – 1.66M
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.64M on Nov 4, 1.64M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.54 million | 98% | ▼ 1 | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 3.4K |
| Above 1.56 million | 96% | ▼ 2 | 95¢ | 96¢ | $1.04 | 406 |
| Above 1.58 million | 93% | ▼ 3 | 92¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 210 |
| Above 1.6 million | 88% | ▼ 1 | 87¢ | 88¢ | $1.14 | 227 |
| Above 1.62 million | 76% | ▲ 3 | 75¢ | 76¢ | $1.32 | 63.00 |
| Above 1.64 million | 51% | ▲ 2 | 49¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 101 |
| Above 1.66 million | 28% | 28¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | ||
| Above 1.68 million | 12% | ▼ 1 | 11¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | |
| Above 1.7 million | 6% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 353 |
| Above 1.72 million | 3% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 300 |
| Above 1.74 million | 3% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Amazon
Search ›- Final Trades: Amazon, Coeur Mining, FTAI Aviation and AppleCNBC Final Trades: Amazon, Coeur Mining, FTAI Aviation and Apple
- Amazon’s newest Fire TV Stick 4K keeps getting cheaper.Just a week after its price was cut in half, the Fire TV Stick 4K has hit a new low of $24.99 ($35 off) on Amazon. The streaming device supports Dolby Atmos with compatible sound systems and draws power from your TV’s USB port, so you…
- Final Trades: Amazon, BlackRock Inc., Eaton Corp., and PfizerCNBC Final Trades: Amazon, BlackRock Inc., Eaton Corp., and Pfizer
- My therapist thinks I should chuck the Amazon Bee Frontier out a windowFiltering conversations and memories through AI is a reality-bending lesson in why intelligence can’t replace wisdom. This is Optimizer, a weekly newsletter sent from Verge senior reviewer Victoria Song that dissects and discusses the…
- The Greatest review – Amazon’s sturdy Muhammad Ali series is a tale told too many timesThere are small pleasures to be had in this straightforward retelling of the boxing champ’s life but there’s not much most viewers haven’t seen beforeThe Greatest is a new limited series that repackages the life of Muhammad Ali for…
- 89-year-old woman, 70-year-old son victims of Bronx home invasion by suspects dressed as Amazon workersUpdated on: November 4, 2026 / 6:50 PM EST / CBS New York An 89-year-old woman and her 70-year-old son say they were blindsided when three people forced their way into their Bronx apartment. Two of them were dressed as Amazon workers…
- Dolton tells residents to reach out to Amazon or FAA with concerns about Amazon dronesCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Dolton tells residents to…
- NYC home invaders in Amazon uniforms zip-tied woman, 89, held son at gunpoint for measly $24Three callous home invaders posing as Amazon workers bound an 89-year-old Bronx woman with zip ties and pointed a gun at her son’s head Tuesday as they robbed the place of just $24 and some personal items, cops and sources said. The trio…
- Rancho Cordova Amazon warehouse evacuated after trailer fire outsideNovember 2, 2026 / 8:16 AM PST / CBS Sacramento A tractor-trailer caught fire Monday morning while connected to an Amazon warehouse in Rancho Cordova, sending smoke into the building and forcing employees to evacuate. Sacramento Metro Fire…
- The Amazon’s canary in the coalmine: what a tropical fish can tell us about climate upheavalScientist Adalberto Luis Val’s pioneering research on the tambaqui fish is revealing the effect of climate disruption in Brazil, with global implications for biodiversity and food security As a boy in rural São Paulo, Adalberto Luis Val…
- Jewellery sold as sterling silver on Amazon and Temu found to contain toxic chemicalsMeranda suffered skin irritation after buying a necklace sold as sterling silver Jewellery advertised as sterling silver on popular online marketplaces was found to contain toxic chemicals, following a BBC investigation. Some 25 items…
- Dolton village officials ask residents to contact Amazon, FAA about delivery drone concernsNovember 2, 2026 / 6:33 AM CST / CBS Chicago With Amazon using drones to deliver packages in Chicago's south suburbs, Dolton village officials have begun telling residents to contact Amazon or the Federal Aviation Administration with…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions