Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?
>99%chance
Install
Amazon headcount in Q3
The odds
1.62Mmedian
1.52M1.70M
Median 1.62MMiddle half 1.60M – 1.64M
How the odds have moved
Median: 1.62M on Oct 20, 1.62M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 1.54 million | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | $1.02 | 5.9K | |
| Above 1.56 million | 97% | 96¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | 16.4K | |
| Above 1.58 million | 95% | 94¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 13.1K | |
| Above 1.6 million | 79% | 78¢ | 79¢ | $1.27 | 6.4K | |
| Above 1.62 million | 46% | 45¢ | 46¢ | $2.17 | 5.4K | |
| Above 1.64 million | 20% | 19¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | 2.7K | |
| Above 1.66 million | 6% | ▲ 1 | 5¢ | 6¢ | $16.67 | 7.8K |
| Above 1.68 million | 4% | ▼ 1 | 3¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 10.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Amazon
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.