Alaska Air passenger load factor in Q3 (passenger load factor in Q3 2026)

Kalshi Finance › Companies Closed Wed 11:13 AM ET · $331 today · $7K traded · $2K at stake

Settled 82.8%A day before, traders had a median of 83.14%

The last odds before it closed

—
  • ✓ Above 82%96%▲ 3
  • ✓ Above 82.5%99%▲ 18
  • Above 83%68%▲ 5
  • Above 83.5%5%▼ 45
  • Above 84%1%▼ 31
  • Above 84.5%8%▼ 4
  • Above 85%1%▼ 6
  • Above 85.5%4%
  • Above 86%7%▲ 4
  • Above 86.5%5%▲ 2
  • Above 87%—

How the odds have moved

Above 82.5%: 81% on Oct 20, 98% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Last odds Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ Above 82% 96% 4.2K
✓ Above 82.5% 99% 1.6K
✗ Above 83% 68% 831
✗ Above 83.5% 5% 3.3K
✗ Above 84% 1% 6.9K
✗ Above 84.5% 8% 5.6K
✗ Above 85% 1% 1.1K
✗ Above 85.5% 4% 182
✗ Above 86% 7% 651
✗ Above 86.5% 5% 1.0K
✗ Above 87% —

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Alaska Air

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.