Alaska U.S. House winner? (Person) (2026)

Kalshi Elections › House Closes Nov 3, 2027 · $7.2K traded · $5.5K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

79%Nick Begich III
  • Nick Begich III79%▲ 1
  • Bill Hill18%▼ 1
  • Matt Schultz2%
  • Eric Hafner1%
  • Jim McDermott1%
  • John Williams1%
  • Gavin Solomon<1%

How the odds have moved

Nick Begich III: 83% on Oct 20, 79% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Nick Begich III 79% ▲ 1 79¢ 84¢ $1.19 6.7K
Bill Hill 18% ▼ 1 17¢ 22¢ $4.55 8.3K
Matt Schultz 2% 0¢ 5¢ $22.22 5.2K
Eric Hafner 1% 2¢ $50.00 100
Jim McDermott 1% 2¢ $50.00 100
John Williams 1% 0¢ 2¢ $66.67 506
Gavin Solomon <1% 0¢ 1.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Alaska U.S. House, Nick Begich III, Bill Hill

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  • PACs backing Bill Hill discourage votes for incarcerated Democrat in Alaska's U.S. House raceYahoo News · 3 days agoOct. 22—JUNEAU — With less than two weeks until Election Day, political groups have spent hundreds of thousands of dollars highlighting that the top vote-getting Democrat on the ballot in Alaska's U.S. House race is serving a 20-year…
  • Q&A with Alaska U.S. House candidates: Would you support expanding the size of the Supreme Court?Anchorage Daily News · 3 days agoThe Anchorage Daily News asked candidates for U.S. House running in the special primary election to answer a series of questions. Read all of their responses here. Jay R. Armstrong (R) I would never support a bill to expand the size of the…
  • Vote Bill Hill for U.S. HouseChilkat Valley News · 3 days agoCovering the Chilkat Valley and Haines, Alaska since 1966 Bill Hill, candidate for U.S. House of Representatives, is relatively new to the political scene and likely unknown to many Haines residents. We are writing to voice our support for…
  • Alaska Independent Bill Hill Has Caught Up to Nick Begich, New Polls SayIndependent Voter News · 3 days agoNearly 232,000 independent voters cast ballots in North Carolina's first five days of early voting, an 88% increase from 2022. Independents now represent 40% of registered voters in the state and are showing up at polls in unprecedented…
  • A federal prisoner in New York could play spoiler in Alaska’s House race@AlaskaCurrent · 4 days agoEric Hafner could siphon away Democratic votes from independent candidate Bill Hill in a critical race against Republican US Rep. Nick Begich III. The Democrat running for Alaska’s US House seat didn’t make an appearance at last week’s…
  • Ranked Choice Voting Won’t Hand Bill Hill A Win in Alaska. Here’s What CouldIndependent Voter News · 6 days agoIndependent candidate Bill Hill faces a steep climb in Alaska's House race, as ranked choice voting alone won't get him across the finish line against Republican incumbent Nick Begich without winning over more first-choice voters. Monday…
  • Opinion: Look beyond the labelAnchorage Daily News · 25 h agoA party label is not a character reference. Nor is a place on the ballot proof that a candidate knows Alaska, cares about its people or deserves their votes. Alaskans can disagree sharply about policy and still expect candidates to have a…
  • Is the tide going out on Mary Peltola? Nearly empty AFN audience for her offers a striking contrastAlaska Story · 33 h agoHome » Is the tide going out on Mary Peltola? Nearly empty AFN audience for her offers a striking contrast Oct. 24, 2026 – Mary Peltola once enjoyed “it girl” status at the Alaska Federation of Natives convention. But on Friday, rows of…
  • “We've Been Conned”: The 65-Year-Old Lie Behind Closed PrimariesIndependent Voter News · 2 days agoEditor's Note: The following is an exclusive series on IVN from the better elections group Open Primaries. The content originated from the group's weekly newsletter, "Primary Buzz." In Los Angeles's District 3, business owner Tim Gaspar…
  • Business Owner Tim Gaspar and Labor-Backed Barri Worth Girvan Face Off in Los AngelesIndependent Voter News · 2 days agoThat resume is the center of her pitch to voters. "Delivering core city services is my bread and butter," she told the Los Angeles Times. He argues that City Hall needs someone from outside government. "They're missing the business…
  • Begich, Hill talk priorities, energy, during Fairbanks forumFairbanks Daily News-Miner · 3 days agoRep. Nick Begich, R-Alaska, left, and Bristol Bay independent Bill Hill answer questions during a Greater Fairbanks Chamber of Commerce candidate forum on Tuesday. Rep. Nick Begich, R-Alaska, left, and Bristol Bay independent Bill Hill…
  • Letters to the editorHomer News · 3 days agoPublished 4:30 am Thursday, October 22, 2026 Sale benefits Homer library Friends of the Homer Public Library just wrapped up our Fall Book and Plant Sale, along with Jacque’s Gift Pop-up Sale. This was one of our best sales yet! Smiling…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions