American Airlines passenger load factor in Q1 2027

Kalshi Finance › Companies Closes Aug 20, 2027 · prices read 39 min ago

The odds

79.65%median
73.5%85.5%
Median 79.65%Middle half 78.64% – 80.64%

How the odds have moved

Median: 81.46% on Oct 28, 79.65% now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Above 75.5% 96% 92¢ $1.04
Above 77.5% 91% 87¢ 95¢ $1.05
Above 78.0% 86% 82¢ 90¢ $1.11
Above 78.5% 78% 74¢ 82¢ $1.22
Above 79.0% 67% 63¢ 71¢ $1.41
Above 79.5% 54% 50¢ 58¢ $1.72
Above 80.0% 41% 37¢ 45¢ $2.22
Above 80.5% 28% 24¢ 32¢ $3.13
Above 81.0% 17% 13¢ 21¢ $4.76
Above 81.5% 10% 6¢ 14¢ $7.14
Above 83.5% 3% 6¢ $16.67

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: American Airlines

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  • American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL)Yahoo Finance · 3 days agostock price, news, quote and history Yahoo Finance UK UK markets open in 26m American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) This price reflects trading activity during the overnight session on the Blue Ocean ATS, available 8 p.m. to 4 a.m. ET, Sunday…
  • American Airlines returns to Haiti, launches daily service from MIAAntelope Valley Press · 3 days agoAmerican Airlines relaunches daily service between Miami International Airport and Cap-Haïtien, Haiti, on Sunday with an all Haitian, Creole-speaking crew. Six years after suspending service to Cap-Haïtien, American Airlines returned to…
  • American Airlines Resumes Cap-Haïtien Flights After 6 YearsTips and News | Travel Diary · 3 days agoPassengers will also have access to premium cabin options and free high-speed Wi-Fi sponsored by AT&T. Through Miami, passengers can also connect to more than 90 destinations across the United States. The published schedule lists the Miami…
  • Two Years After Gunfire Hit Aircraft, American Airlines Returns To HaitiAviation Week Network · 2 days agoAmerican Airlines resumed flights to Haiti on Nov. 1, 2026, with the first flight operated by an all-Haitian, Creole-speaking flight crew. American Airlines has opened flights to Cap-Haitien International airport (CAP), restoring service…
  • American Airlines Resumes Flights to HaitiOpen Jaw · 3 days agoAmerican Airlines today celebrated the launch of daily service between Miami (MIA) and Cap-Haïtien, Haiti (CAP), restoring the airline’s presence in Haiti - | - Open Jaw is a leading travel authority on industry news and insights…
  • American Airlines AAL Stock Balances Earnings Beat And Fuel PainStocksToTrade · 3 days agoAmerican Airlines Group Inc. gains investor optimism after robust travel demand news, as stocks have been trading up by 3.85 percent. Intraday action during the latest session reinforces that picture. AAL opened just above $13 and tested…
  • American Airlines resumes Haiti flights two years after aircraft shootingsAeroTime · 2 days agoAmerican Airlines has resumed flights to Haiti for the first time in nearly two years, becoming the first major US airline to restore service to the country following a series of shootings targeting commercial aircraft in November 2024…
  • American Airlines Moves Closer To Announcing New Widebody OrderAviation Week Network · 3 days agoAmerican Airlines nears a widebody aircraft order to replace its Boeing 777-200 fleet while reporting a $269 million third-quarter net loss as fuel costs surge. American Airlines Moves Closer To Announcing New Widebody Order Lori covers…
  • American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) Stock Price Breaks Above 50 Day Moving Average – Time to Sell?Markets Daily · 3 days agoPosted by Tristan Rich on Nov 3rd, 2026 American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:AAL – Get Free Report) crossed above its 50 day moving average during trading on Monday. The stock has a 50 day moving average of $12.94 and traded as high as…
  • American Airlines Passenger Stuck Overnight Couldn’t Get A Hotel Voucher—They Got A Credit Card Pitch InsteadView from the Wing · 2 days agoby Gary Leff on November 3, 2026 An American Airlines passenger says they couldn’t get a hotel voucher during a flight delay. The chat agent did, however, have something else ready: a pitch to open a Citi credit card, spend $2,500, and…
  • American Airlines Stock Balances Fuel Pain With Card-Driven UpsideStocksToTrade · 3 days agoAmerican Airlines Group Inc. stocks have been trading up by 4.01 percent after upbeat travel-demand news boosted investor optimism. For active traders, AAL right now is a classic “good top line, tough bottom line” story. The latest quarter…
  • American Airlines Returns to Haiti with All-Haitian CrewSafari India · 3 days agoAmerican Airlines has resumed service to Haiti with the launch of daily nonstop flights between Miami International Airport (MIA) and Cap-Haïtien International Airport (CAP). The new route restores American Airlines’ presence in Haiti and…

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions