Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 5.04%.
Reaches 4.95%100%
Reaches 4.96%100%
Reaches 4.97%100%
Reaches 4.98%100%
Reaches 4.99%100%
Reaches 5%100%
Reaches 5.01%100%
Reaches 5.06%19%
How the odds have moved
Reaches 4.95%: 68% on Nov 11, 100% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
4.96% or above
100%
▲ 16
99¢
182
4.97% or above
100%
99¢
1.1K
4.98% or above
100%
99¢
1.6K
4.99% or above
100%
99¢
110
5% or above
100%
99¢
5.00
5.01% or above
100%
99¢
287
5.02% or above
100%
▲ 70
99¢
628
5.07% or above
19%
▼ 9
18¢
67¢
$1.49
440
5.1% or above
12%
▼ 10
23¢
96¢
$1.04
300
5.16% or above
1%
▼ 2
35¢
56¢
$1.79
402
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Treasury yields rise as traders strengthen Fed rate hike betsCNBC · 6 h agoBondsTreasury yields rise as traders strengthen Fed rate hike bets Published Fri, Nov 13 20263:43 AM ESTHugh LeaskWATCH LIVETreasury yields edged higher on Friday as investor expectations for a December rate hike by the Federal Reserve…
‘Unprecedented’ for Treasury secretary to leave home over Iran threat: Joe ConchaWashington Examiner · 20 h agoWashington Examiner columnist Joe Concha said Iranian plots against the United States have become unprecedented, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent being relocated for his safety. “Well, we took out two levels of Iranian leadership at…
DTCC to Bring Tokenized Stocks and Treasuries to Solana in 2027Decrypt · 20 h agoDecryptNewsBusinessDTCC to Bring Tokenized Stocks and Treasuries to Solana in 2027 Wall Street's main settlement firm will add Solana to its tokenization service, which went live last month on Canton and a private network. By Decrypt…
Treasury yields edge higher as investors await fresh inflation and housing dataCNBC · 31 h agoBondsTreasury yields edge higher as investors await fresh inflation and housing data Published Thu, Nov 12 20262:38 AM ESTHugh LeaskWATCH LIVEU.S. Treasury yields edged higher Thursday as bond trading resumed after the Veterans Day closure…
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent moves to a military base amid Iranian threatsNBC News · 25 h agoA source familiar with the matter said that security concerns “forced the Secretary to relocate to a military base for his safety.”Bessent has moved to the base following heightened security concerns.Vincent Alban / Bloomberg via Getty…
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent Moved to Military Base After Iranian threatsCNN · 38 h agoThe Lead Andrew McCabe joins The Lead. 1:10 • Source: CNN This just in... 15 videos Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent Moved to Military Base After Iranian threats 1:10 Now playing • Source: CNN US: Iranian operative directed failed UK plot…
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent relocated after alleged Iranian threatsBBC News · 46 h ago20 minutes agoBernd Debusmann JrWhite House reporter Getty ImagesThe severity and nature of the threat against Scott Bessent remains unclear US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has been moved from his Washington DC home to a military base…
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent moves into military housing due to Iranian threatsCBS News · 37 h agoWatch CBS News Bessent faces Iranian threats on his life Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent has moved out of his home in Washington, D.C., and onto a military base out of concern for his safety, including Iranian threats to his life…
US Treasury chief Scott Bessent moved to military base after Iranian threats: reportNew York Post · 2 days agoWorld News US Treasury chief Scott Bessent moved to military base after Iranian threats: report By Reuters Published Nov. 11, 2026, 12:03 a.m. ET See more of our coverage in your search results. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent recently…
Treasury sells $42 billion in 10-year notesCNBC · 3 days agoCNBCâs Dom Chu breaks down the latest bond auction from the U.S. Treasury Department. Treasury sells $42 billion in 10-year notes
US Treasury chief Scott Bessent moves to military base after Iranian threatsthe Guardian · 2 days agoScott Bessent is among current and former US officials being targeted by Iran, according to reports. Photograph: Kylie Cooper/Reuters Scott Bessent is among current and former US officials being targeted by Iran, according to reports…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions