Who will have a top 20 song this year? (2026)

Kalshi Culture › Music Closes Dec 29 · $638 today · $48.7K traded · $24.5K at stake · prices read 18 min ago

The odds

100%Lana Del Rey
  • Lana Del Rey100%
  • Chappell Roan99%▲ 1
  • Mariah Carey96%
  • Post Malone89%▼ 1
  • Tyler, The Creator60%▲ 39
  • SZA52%▲ 6
  • The Weeknd39%
  • Kendrick Lamar35%▲ 1
  • Doechii33%
  • Travis Scott32%
  • Beyoncé23%
  • Shaboozey23%▲ 1
76 more
  • KATSEYE22%▲ 1
  • Lady Gaga21%▲ 1
  • Megan Thee Stallion21%▲ 2
  • Tyla20%▲ 6
  • Doja Cat19%▲ 5
  • Benson Boone18%▲ 5
  • J Balvin17%▲ 11
  • USHER16%▲ 9
  • Lola Young16%▲ 5
  • EsDeeKid16%▲ 1
  • Coldplay15%▲ 8
  • Dua Lipa15%▼ 1
  • Gracie Abrams14%
  • Eminem14%▲ 3
  • Lewis Capaldi14%▲ 8
  • Joji13%▲ 2
  • Clairo13%
  • Rihanna13%
  • Quavo13%
  • PARTYNEXTDOOR13%
  • Big Sean12%▲ 4
  • Billie Eilish12%
  • Trippie Redd12%▲ 1
  • Kali Uchis12%
  • Justin Timberlake11%▲ 3
  • John Mayer11%▲ 2
  • Roddy Ricch11%
  • Rauw Alejandro10%▲ 2
  • BLACKPINK10%▲ 2
  • Offset10%▲ 2
  • Lil Nas X10%
  • Lil Yachty10%
  • Bebe Rexha10%
  • Charli xcx10%▲ 2
  • Ed Sheeran9%
  • Sia9%▲ 1
  • Young Thug9%▼ 5
  • Pharrell Williams9%▲ 1
  • The Kid LAROI9%
  • The Marías9%
  • YoungBoy Never Broke Again9%
  • Swae Lee9%▼ 1
  • Ice Spice9%
  • Kid Cudi8%▲ 2
  • Daniel Caesar8%
  • Stray Kids8%▼ 3
  • Childish Gambino8%
  • Fred again..8%
  • Maroon 58%
  • Shawn Mendes8%▲ 2
  • Kanye West / Ye7%▼ 2
  • Tyga7%▲ 2
  • Jason Derulo7%▲ 2
  • ROSALÍA7%
  • Calvin Harris7%
  • Linkin Park7%
  • mgk7%▼ 1
  • Khalid6%▲ 1
  • Sam Smith6%
  • Daft Punk6%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Lana Del Rey: 98% on Oct 20, 100% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Lana Del Rey 100% 99¢ 7.5K
Chappell Roan 99% ▲ 1 98¢ $1.01 10.3K
✓ Steve Lacy 99% $1.01 1.1K
✓ Dolly Parton 99% $1.01 361
✓ KAROL G 96% $1.04 10.5K
Mariah Carey 96% 94¢ 98¢ $1.02 2.8K
Post Malone 89% ▼ 1 84¢ 93¢ $1.08 635
Tyler, The Creator 60% ▲ 39 20¢ 57¢ $1.75 780
SZA 52% ▲ 6 43¢ 71¢ $1.41 4.1K
The Weeknd 39% 26¢ 41¢ $2.44 3.4K
Kendrick Lamar 35% ▲ 1 31¢ 38¢ $2.63 1.5K
Doechii 33% 29¢ 37¢ $2.70 1.5K
Travis Scott 32% 30¢ 34¢ $2.94 2.5K
Beyoncé 23% 22¢ 51¢ $1.96 2.1K
Shaboozey 23% ▲ 1 20¢ 25¢ $4.00 1.5K
KATSEYE 22% ▲ 1 20¢ 24¢ $4.17 7.8K
Lady Gaga 21% ▲ 1 18¢ 24¢ $4.17 1.4K
Megan Thee Stallion 21% ▲ 2 17¢ 42¢ $2.38 534
Tyla 20% ▲ 6 10¢ 32¢ $3.13 2.2K
Doja Cat 19% ▲ 5 10¢ 26¢ $3.85 384
Benson Boone 18% ▲ 5 9¢ 31¢ $3.23 852
J Balvin 17% ▲ 11 2¢ 13¢ $7.69 67.00
USHER 16% ▲ 9 4¢ 18¢ $5.56 70.00
Lola Young 16% ▲ 5 6¢ 20¢ $5.00 108
EsDeeKid 16% ▲ 1 13¢ 18¢ $5.56 2.4K
Coldplay 15% ▲ 8 3¢ 16¢ $6.25 115
Dua Lipa 15% ▼ 1 12¢ 47¢ $2.13 651
Gracie Abrams 14% 13¢ 16¢ $6.25 3.2K
Eminem 14% ▲ 3 8¢ 51¢ $1.96 146
Lewis Capaldi 14% ▲ 8 2¢ 19¢ $5.26 147
Joji 13% ▲ 2 7¢ 19¢ $5.26 4.8K
Clairo 13% 9¢ 20¢ $5.00 261
Rihanna 13% 10¢ 15¢ $6.67 1.5K
Quavo 13% 9¢ 16¢ $6.25 204
PARTYNEXTDOOR 13% 10¢ 15¢ $6.67 978
Big Sean 12% ▲ 4 4¢ 17¢ $5.88 202
Billie Eilish 12% 11¢ 12¢ $8.33 7.0K
Trippie Redd 12% ▲ 1 8¢ 15¢ $6.67 636
Kali Uchis 12% 8¢ 15¢ $6.67 606
Justin Timberlake 11% ▲ 3 4¢ 15¢ $6.67 201
John Mayer 11% ▲ 2 8¢ 22¢ $4.55 1.2K
Roddy Ricch 11% 7¢ 14¢ $7.14 848
Rauw Alejandro 10% ▲ 2 5¢ 15¢ $6.67 637
BLACKPINK 10% ▲ 2 5¢ 15¢ $6.67 2.3K
Offset 10% ▲ 2 4¢ 15¢ $6.67 2.00
Lil Nas X 10% 7¢ 26¢ $3.85 706
Lil Yachty 10% 7¢ 13¢ $7.69 46.00
Bebe Rexha 10% 6¢ 13¢ $7.69 209
Charli xcx 10% ▲ 2 6¢ 13¢ $7.69 5.4K
Ed Sheeran 9% 6¢ 12¢ $8.33 541
Sia 9% ▲ 1 4¢ 14¢ $7.14 55.00
Young Thug 9% ▼ 5 4¢ 14¢ $7.14 7.1K
Pharrell Williams 9% ▲ 1 4¢ 14¢ $7.14 150
The Kid LAROI 9% 6¢ 12¢ $8.33 2.0K
The Marías 9% 7¢ 11¢ $9.09 508
YoungBoy Never Broke Again 9% 6¢ 11¢ $9.09 2.4K
Swae Lee 9% ▼ 1 5¢ 12¢ $8.33 1.0K
Ice Spice 9% 5¢ 12¢ $8.33 238
Kid Cudi 8% ▲ 2 4¢ 12¢ $8.33 64.00
Daniel Caesar 8% 5¢ 11¢ $9.09 76.00
Stray Kids 8% ▼ 3 4¢ 12¢ $8.33 1.5K
Childish Gambino 8% 5¢ 11¢ $9.09 36.00
Fred again.. 8% 6¢ 10¢ $10.00 109
Maroon 5 8% 5¢ 10¢ $10.00 42.00
Shawn Mendes 8% ▲ 2 3¢ 12¢ $8.33 20.00
Kanye West / Ye 7% ▼ 2 7¢ 43¢ $2.33 12.4K
Tyga 7% ▲ 2 2¢ 12¢ $8.33
Jason Derulo 7% ▲ 2 2¢ 12¢ $8.33 48.00
ROSALÍA 7% 4¢ 10¢ $10.00 378
Calvin Harris 7% 5¢ 8¢ $12.50 607
Linkin Park 7% 3¢ 10¢ $10.00 60.00
mgk 7% ▼ 1 4¢ 9¢ $11.11 1.5K
Khalid 6% ▲ 1 2¢ 15¢ $6.67 4.00
Sam Smith 6% 4¢ 8¢ $12.50 472
Daft Punk 6% ▲ 1 2¢ 10¢ $10.00 1.00
2 Chainz 6% 4¢ 8¢ $12.50 50.00
Frank Ocean 6% 5¢ 7¢ $14.29 403
Geese 6% ▼ 1 1¢ 11¢ $9.09 372
David Guetta 6% 3¢ 8¢ $12.50 141
Anuel AA 6% ▲ 1 2¢ 9¢ $11.11 3.00
Charlie Puth 6% 3¢ 8¢ $12.50 2.1K
Polo G 6% 2¢ 9¢ $11.11 66.00
Fall Out Boy 6% ▲ 1 2¢ 9¢ $11.11 25.00
NF 6% ▲ 1 2¢ 9¢ $11.11 4.00
Logic 6% ▲ 1 2¢ 9¢ $11.11 3.00
Ozuna 5% 2¢ 8¢ $12.50 26.00
Kodak Black 5% 2¢ 8¢ $12.50 264
Grimes 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 21.00
Lil Wayne 4% ▼ 3 3¢ 16¢ $6.25 281
Addison Rae 4% ▲ 3 2¢ 6¢ $16.67 1.9K
Camilo 3% ▼ 3 2¢ 23¢ $4.35 2.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Lana Del Rey, Chappell Roan, Mariah Carey

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  • Albania<1%▼ 1
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83%JAY-Z
  • JAY-Z83%▲ 5
  • Beyoncé30%▲ 4
  • Miley Cyrus12%▲ 5
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  • Harry Styles7%▼ 1
  • Lady Gaga6%▲ 2
  • Justin Bieber6%▼ 1
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  • Rihanna4%
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  • Linkin Park2%
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  • Travis Scott2%
  • Backstreet Boys2%
  • Elton John2%
  • Pink2%
  • Pearl Jam2%
  • Chris Brown2%
  • Christina Aguilera2%
  • Doja Cat2%
  • Megan Thee Stallion2%
  • Ice Spice2%
  • Cynthia Erivo2%
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  • Drake2%
  • Billie Eilish2%
  • Foo Fighters2%
  • Lil Baby2%
  • Chappell Roan2%
  • Post Malone2%
  • Dua Lipa2%
  • Metallica2%
  • Morgan Wallen2%▼ 1
  • Karol G2%
  • Green Day2%
  • Coldplay2%
  • Mariah Carey2%
  • BLACKPINK2%
  • Outkast2%
  • T-Pain2%
  • Stevie Wonder2%
  • Sexyy Red1%
  • Ed Sheeran1%
  • Madonna1%
KalshiCloses Feb 15, 2027 · $7.5K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions