Who will have a #1 album this year? (2026)

Kalshi Culture › Music Closes Dec 26 · $90 today · $226K traded · $96.9K at stake · prices read 33 min ago

The odds

76%Lil Baby
  • Lil Baby76%
  • Lana Del Rey45%
  • Travis Scott22%▼ 1
  • Beyoncé22%
  • SZA21%
  • Post Malone19%
  • Kendrick Lamar19%▼ 1
  • Olivia Dean18%▲ 1
  • The Weeknd14%
  • Eminem13%▲ 3
  • Tate McRae13%▼ 6
  • Megan Thee Stallion12%▼ 1
90 more
  • Lil Uzi Vert11%
  • Young Thug11%▲ 1
  • Kanye West / Ye11%▼ 1
  • Sabrina Carpenter11%
  • Selena Gomez11%▲ 4
  • Doechii10%▼ 2
  • Justin Bieber9%
  • Leon Thomas9%▼ 1
  • sombr9%▲ 1
  • Billie Eilish8%
  • Chappell Roan8%
  • Coldplay7%▲ 1
  • Dua Lipa7%▼ 4
  • Lady Gaga7%▼ 1
  • Shawn Mendes7%
  • Frank Ocean7%▲ 1
  • Nicki Minaj7%▼ 1
  • Benson Boone7%
  • Rauw Alejandro6%
  • Linkin Park6%▲ 1
  • Kodak Black6%
  • Offset6%
  • Joji6%
  • The Marías6%
  • Ed Sheeran6%▼ 1
  • Ozuna6%
  • Doja Cat6%
  • Migos6%
  • Pharrell Williams6%
  • Childish Gambino6%
  • Lola Young6%
  • Calvin Harris5%
  • NF5%▲ 1
  • Bryson Tiller5%
  • mgk5%
  • Alex Warren5%▼ 1
  • J Balvin5%
  • Anuel AA5%
  • KAROL G5%
  • Sia5%
  • Luke Combs5%
  • Swae Lee5%
  • BLACKPINK5%
  • Daft Punk5%
  • The Kid LAROI5%▼ 1
  • Fall Out Boy5%
  • Daniel Caesar5%
  • PARTYNEXTDOOR5%▼ 1
  • Mariah Carey5%
  • Ice Spice5%
  • Quavo4%
  • YoungBoy Never Broke Again4%▼ 1
  • Tyga4%
  • USHER4%
  • Charli xcx4%
  • ROSALÍA4%
  • Lil Yachty4%
  • PinkPantheress4%▼ 3
  • Shaboozey4%
  • Phoebe Bridgers4%

How the odds have moved

Lil Baby: 33% on Oct 20, 76% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 23, 11 PM ETLil Baby: 71% → 76%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 20, 11 PM ETLil Baby: 33% → 74%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ KATSEYE 99% $1.01 41.6K
✓ Miley Cyrus 99% $1.01 18.3K
✓ Stray Kids 98% $1.02 30.0K
✓ ENHYPEN 98% $1.02 92.7K
✓ Rod Wave 94% $1.06 10.2K
Lil Baby 76% 73¢ 78¢ $1.28 5.7K
Lana Del Rey 45% 32¢ 53¢ $1.89 6.0K
Travis Scott 22% ▼ 1 19¢ 24¢ $4.17 10.1K
Beyoncé 22% 20¢ 23¢ $4.35 10.1K
SZA 21% 20¢ 21¢ $4.76 5.8K
Post Malone 19% 16¢ 22¢ $4.55 13.4K
Kendrick Lamar 19% ▼ 1 17¢ 20¢ $5.00 7.0K
Olivia Dean 18% ▲ 1 15¢ 20¢ $5.00 2.9K
The Weeknd 14% 12¢ 16¢ $6.25 1.2K
Eminem 13% ▲ 3 10¢ 16¢ $6.25 1.4K
Tate McRae 13% ▼ 6 10¢ 16¢ $6.25 5.7K
Megan Thee Stallion 12% ▼ 1 8¢ 16¢ $6.25 3.9K
Lil Uzi Vert 11% 10¢ 12¢ $8.33 6.7K
Young Thug 11% ▲ 1 10¢ 12¢ $8.33 6.8K
Kanye West / Ye 11% ▼ 1 9¢ 12¢ $8.33 35.0K
Sabrina Carpenter 11% 10¢ 11¢ $9.09 2.7K
Selena Gomez 11% ▲ 4 7¢ 14¢ $7.14 894
Doechii 10% ▼ 2 8¢ 12¢ $8.33 3.5K
Justin Bieber 9% 7¢ 10¢ $10.00 4.4K
Leon Thomas 9% ▼ 1 5¢ 12¢ $8.33 522
sombr 9% ▲ 1 7¢ 10¢ $10.00 3.8K
Billie Eilish 8% 6¢ 9¢ $11.11 11.8K
Chappell Roan 8% 7¢ 8¢ $12.50 974
Coldplay 7% ▲ 1 6¢ 8¢ $12.50 365
Dua Lipa 7% ▼ 4 6¢ 18¢ $5.56 2.0K
Lady Gaga 7% ▼ 1 5¢ 9¢ $11.11 1.5K
Shawn Mendes 7% 4¢ 10¢ $10.00 602
Frank Ocean 7% ▲ 1 4¢ 10¢ $10.00 1.7K
Nicki Minaj 7% ▼ 1 6¢ 7¢ $14.29 8.8K
Benson Boone 7% 4¢ 9¢ $11.11 275
Rauw Alejandro 6% 4¢ 8¢ $12.50 1.7K
Linkin Park 6% ▲ 1 4¢ 8¢ $12.50 69.00
Kodak Black 6% 4¢ 8¢ $12.50 157
Offset 6% 4¢ 8¢ $12.50 904
Joji 6% 5¢ 7¢ $14.29 14.8K
The Marías 6% 4¢ 8¢ $12.50 767
Ed Sheeran 6% ▼ 1 4¢ 7¢ $14.29 303
Ozuna 6% 5¢ 6¢ $16.67 436
Doja Cat 6% 4¢ 7¢ $14.29 16.00
Migos 6% 4¢ 7¢ $14.29 227
Pharrell Williams 6% 3¢ 8¢ $12.50 14.00
Childish Gambino 6% 4¢ 7¢ $14.29 30.00
Lola Young 6% 4¢ 7¢ $14.29 258
Calvin Harris 5% 3¢ 7¢ $14.29 7.00
NF 5% ▲ 1 3¢ 7¢ $14.29 401
Bryson Tiller 5% 3¢ 7¢ $14.29 1.9K
mgk 5% 3¢ 7¢ $14.29 708
Alex Warren 5% ▼ 1 4¢ 6¢ $16.67 5.9K
J Balvin 5% 3¢ 6¢ $16.67 998
Anuel AA 5% 3¢ 6¢ $16.67 635
KAROL G 5% 4¢ 5¢ $20.00 8.5K
Sia 5% 3¢ 6¢ $16.67 239
Luke Combs 5% 4¢ 5¢ $20.00 10.9K
Swae Lee 5% 3¢ 6¢ $16.67 2.0K
BLACKPINK 5% 3¢ 6¢ $16.67 6.3K
Daft Punk 5% 3¢ 6¢ $16.67 642
The Kid LAROI 5% ▼ 1 3¢ 6¢ $16.67 163
Fall Out Boy 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 84.00
Daniel Caesar 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 37.00
PARTYNEXTDOOR 5% ▼ 1 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 401
Mariah Carey 5% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 207
Ice Spice 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 20.00
Quavo 4% 2¢ 6¢ $16.67 505
YoungBoy Never Broke Again 4% ▼ 1 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 4.7K
Tyga 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 333
USHER 4% 2¢ 6¢ $16.67 42.00
Charli xcx 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 92.1K
ROSALÍA 4% 2¢ 6¢ $16.67 2.0K
Lil Yachty 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 10.00
PinkPantheress 4% ▼ 3 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 443
Shaboozey 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 1.8K
Phoebe Bridgers 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 5.5K
Lil Wayne 4% 3¢ 4¢ $25.00 6.7K
21 Savage 4% ▲ 1 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 43.00
Khalid 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 27.00
Maroon 5 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 25.00
Justin Timberlake 4% 3¢ 4¢ $25.00 188
Bebe Rexha 4% 7¢ $14.29 1.2K
Big Sean 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 4.00
2 Chainz 4% ▼ 1 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 2.0K
Roddy Ricch 4% 2¢ 5¢ $20.00 25.00
John Mayer 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 12.00
Fred again.. 4% 2¢ 5¢ $20.00 1.3K
Addison Rae 4% ▼ 1 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 68.00
Rihanna 3% ▼ 1 2¢ 4¢ $25.00 3.5K
Trippie Redd 3% ▲ 1 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 157
Charlie Puth 3% ▼ 1 2¢ 4¢ $25.00 3.1K
Kali Uchis 3% 2¢ 4¢ $25.00 283
Lewis Capaldi 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 724
Logic 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 306
Lil Nas X 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 316
Kacey Musgraves 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 69.00
Chris Brown 3% ▼ 1 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 54.0K
Jason Derulo 3% 2¢ 3¢ $33.33 151
Camilo 3% 5¢ $20.00 331
Kid Cudi 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 165
Victoria Monet 2% 4¢ $25.00 620
David Guetta 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 317
Polo G 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 668
Dahi 2% 3¢ $33.33 96.00
Sam Smith 1% ▼ 1 2¢ $50.00 1.5K
Tyla 1% 2¢ $50.00 9.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Lil Baby, Lana Del Rey, Travis Scott

Search ›

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

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All music ›

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  • Armenia99%▲ 56
  • Albania<1%▼ 1
  • Azerbaijan<1%▼ 1
15 more
  • Croatia<1%▼ 2
  • Cyprus<1%▼ 4
  • France<1%▼ 13
  • Georgia<1%▼ 6
  • Ireland<1%▼ 14
  • Italy<1%▼ 1
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Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner(s) (2027)

75%JAY-Z
  • JAY-Z75%▲ 5
  • Beyoncé27%▲ 10
  • Miley Cyrus11%▼ 7
54 more
  • Lady Gaga8%▲ 4
  • Harry Styles7%
  • Taylor Swift7%▲ 2
  • Justin Bieber5%▼ 2
  • Rihanna4%
  • Kanye West / Ye4%
  • Ariana Grande3%
  • Lil Wayne2%▼ 1
  • Sabrina Carpenter2%▲ 1
  • Ella Langley2%▲ 1
  • Oasis2%
  • Adele2%
  • AC/DC2%
  • BTS2%
  • Imagine Dragons2%
  • Guns N' Roses2%
  • Eagles2%
  • Katy Perry2%
  • Linkin Park2%
  • SZA2%
  • Travis Scott2%
  • Backstreet Boys2%
  • Elton John2%
  • Pink2%
  • Pearl Jam2%
  • Chris Brown2%
  • Christina Aguilera2%
  • Doja Cat2%
  • Megan Thee Stallion2%
  • Ice Spice2%
  • Cynthia Erivo2%
  • Tyler, The Creator2%
  • Tate McRae2%▼ 3
  • Drake2%
  • Billie Eilish2%
  • Foo Fighters2%
  • Lil Baby2%
  • Chappell Roan2%
  • Post Malone2%
  • Dua Lipa2%
  • Metallica2%
  • Morgan Wallen2%▼ 1
  • Karol G2%
  • Green Day2%
  • Coldplay2%
  • Cardi B2%
  • Mariah Carey2%
  • BLACKPINK2%
  • Outkast2%
  • T-Pain2%
  • Stevie Wonder2%
  • Sexyy Red1%
  • Ed Sheeran1%
  • Madonna1%
KalshiCloses Feb 15, 2027 · $7.1K today

Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album · Features

100%Rauw Alejandro
  • Rauw Alejandro100%
  • SZA100%
  • PinkPantheress100%
127 more
  • Cardi B100%
  • Lana Del Rey88%▲ 17
  • Young Thug75%▲ 1
  • Dua Lipa74%▼ 2
  • Don Toliver74%▲ 1
  • Kodak Black72%▲ 5
  • Kali Uchis57%▼ 2
  • Doechii55%▲ 14
  • Lil Uzi Vert50%▼ 1
  • Lil Wayne49%▲ 6
  • Bad Bunny46%▼ 9
  • 21 Savage45%▼ 19
  • Ella Langley44%▲ 1
  • Ice Spice42%
  • J Balvin39%▼ 2
  • Anuel AA38%▲ 3
  • T-Pain38%▼ 1
  • Lil Yachty37%▲ 1
  • The Weeknd37%▲ 1
  • Charli xcx37%▼ 1
  • Megan Thee Stallion35%▼ 1
  • KAROL G34%
  • Bruno Mars33%▲ 1
  • Tyler, The Creator33%▲ 1
  • Drake32%▼ 1
  • Sabrina Carpenter31%▼ 1
  • Imagine Dragons31%▲ 22
  • Justin Bieber28%▼ 1
  • The Kid LAROI28%▲ 3
  • Quavo27%▲ 5
  • ROSALÍA27%▼ 1
  • Sexyy Red27%▼ 1
  • Ozuna26%▼ 1
  • Nicki Minaj26%▲ 3
  • JAY-Z26%▲ 1
  • Post Malone25%▲ 1
  • Pharrell Williams24%▼ 1
  • Tyla24%▲ 1
  • Eminem24%▼ 2
  • Doja Cat24%
  • Jason Derulo20%
  • Katy Perry20%▲ 13
  • Leon Thomas20%▼ 1
  • Shaboozey20%
  • Calvin Harris19%▼ 1
  • YoungBoy Never Broke Again19%▲ 7
  • Billie Eilish19%▼ 2
  • Coldplay19%▼ 1
  • Chris Brown18%▼ 1
  • Offset18%
  • 2 Chainz17%
  • Bryson Tiller17%
  • Kendrick Lamar17%▼ 4
  • Lil Baby17%
  • Guns N' Roses17%
  • Lola Young16%
  • Miley Cyrus16%▼ 1
  • The Marías15%▼ 3
  • Luke Combs14%▼ 1
  • Zach Bryan14%▼ 1
KalshiCloses Dec 30 · $4K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions