Who will have a top 10 song this year? (2026)

Kalshi Culture › Music Closes Dec 26 · $307 today · $86.4K traded · $39.5K at stake · prices read 12 min ago

The odds

100%Lana Del Rey
  • Lana Del Rey100%▲ 6
  • Zach Bryan100%
  • Tate McRae100%
  • Chappell Roan100%
  • Mariah Carey98%
  • Michael Jackson96%▲ 2
  • Post Malone80%
  • Young Thug75%
  • SZA44%
  • Kendrick Lamar39%
  • Tyler, The Creator39%
  • 21 Savage35%
93 more
  • The Weeknd35%▲ 2
  • Sabrina Carpenter30%
  • Megan Thee Stallion27%▲ 5
  • SIENNA SPIRO27%
  • KATSEYE22%▲ 1
  • Dua Lipa20%
  • Eminem16%
  • Lil Uzi Vert16%▲ 1
  • Travis Scott14%
  • Nicki Minaj14%▲ 1
  • Doja Cat14%▲ 6
  • Benson Boone14%
  • Lady Gaga13%
  • Luke Combs13%▲ 1
  • Kali Uchis13%
  • Central Cee13%
  • Kanye West / Ye12%▼ 1
  • PARTYNEXTDOOR10%
  • Rihanna10%
  • Lil Wayne9%▲ 1
  • John Mayer9%▲ 1
  • Joji9%
  • Gracie Abrams9%
  • A$AP Rocky8%▲ 1
  • Yeat8%
  • Stray Kids7%▲ 1
  • Coldplay7%▲ 1
  • Rauw Alejandro7%
  • YoungBoy Never Broke Again7%
  • Billie Eilish6%
  • Ozuna6%▲ 1
  • Chris Brown6%
  • Kodak Black6%▲ 1
  • Tyla6%▲ 1
  • Doechii6%
  • Lola Young6%
  • Dolly Parton6%▲ 2
  • David Guetta6%▲ 1
  • Linkin Park6%
  • Daft Punk6%▲ 1
  • Kid Cudi6%▲ 1
  • Fred again..6%▲ 1
  • Sia5%▲ 1
  • Sam Smith5%▲ 1
  • USHER5%▲ 1
  • Pharrell Williams5%
  • Offset5%▲ 1
  • EsDeeKid5%
  • Trippie Redd5%
  • Charlie Puth5%
  • 2 Chainz5%
  • Camilo5%▲ 1
  • Logic5%▲ 1
  • Charli xcx5%▲ 1
  • ROSALÍA5%▲ 1
  • Childish Gambino5%▲ 1
  • Lil Yachty5%
  • J Balvin4%▲ 1
  • Maroon 54%
  • Justin Timberlake4%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Lana Del Rey: 99% on Oct 20, 100% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 23, 11 PM ETLana Del Rey: 99% → 93%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Lana Del Rey 100% ▲ 6 99¢ 3.6K
Zach Bryan 100% 99¢ 11.1K
Tate McRae 100% 99¢ 2.0K
Chappell Roan 100% 99¢ 11.2K
✓ KAROL G 99% $1.01 11.7K
✓ Don Toliver 99% ▼ 1 $1.01 14.5K
✓ Dominic Fike 99% $1.01 6.4K
Mariah Carey 98% 96¢ 99¢ $1.01 2.3K
Michael Jackson 96% ▲ 2 95¢ 96¢ $1.04 5.3K
Post Malone 80% 16¢ 94¢ $1.06 625
Young Thug 75% 5¢ 28¢ $3.57 390
SZA 44% 34¢ 49¢ $2.04 5.4K
Kendrick Lamar 39% 8¢ 74¢ $1.35 2.2K
Tyler, The Creator 39% 13¢ 48¢ $2.08 1.3K
21 Savage 35% 5¢ 21¢ $4.76 359
The Weeknd 35% ▲ 2 34¢ 35¢ $2.86 5.2K
Sabrina Carpenter 30% 24¢ 75¢ $1.33 1.3K
Megan Thee Stallion 27% ▲ 5 12¢ 27¢ $3.70 734
SIENNA SPIRO 27% 12¢ 25¢ $4.00 2.8K
KATSEYE 22% ▲ 1 19¢ 25¢ $4.00 6.5K
Dua Lipa 20% 3¢ 15¢ $6.67 885
Eminem 16% 13¢ 36¢ $2.78 852
Lil Uzi Vert 16% ▲ 1 11¢ 20¢ $5.00 3.6K
Travis Scott 14% 16¢ 46¢ $2.17 2.1K
Nicki Minaj 14% ▲ 1 10¢ 18¢ $5.56 5.1K
Doja Cat 14% ▲ 6 3¢ 14¢ $7.14 324
Benson Boone 14% 1¢ 16¢ $6.25 358
Lady Gaga 13% 14¢ 50¢ $2.00 1.7K
Luke Combs 13% ▲ 1 9¢ 17¢ $5.88 5.1K
Kali Uchis 13% 1¢ 13¢ $7.69 151
Central Cee 13% 8¢ 17¢ $5.88 939
Kanye West / Ye 12% ▼ 1 10¢ 13¢ $7.69 19.4K
PARTYNEXTDOOR 10% 3¢ 16¢ $6.25 720
Rihanna 10% 6¢ 13¢ $7.69 1.8K
Lil Wayne 9% ▲ 1 5¢ 13¢ $7.69 716
John Mayer 9% ▲ 1 5¢ 13¢ $7.69 2.4K
Joji 9% 6¢ 11¢ $9.09 3.8K
Gracie Abrams 9% 7¢ 10¢ $10.00 6.1K
A$AP Rocky 8% ▲ 1 5¢ 10¢ $10.00 1.6K
Yeat 8% 6¢ 9¢ $11.11 3.4K
Stray Kids 7% ▲ 1 4¢ 10¢ $10.00 1.9K
Coldplay 7% ▲ 1 3¢ 10¢ $10.00 4.00
Rauw Alejandro 7% 4¢ 9¢ $11.11 122
YoungBoy Never Broke Again 7% 4¢ 9¢ $11.11 600
Billie Eilish 6% 7¢ 71¢ $1.41 7.9K
Ozuna 6% ▲ 1 1¢ 11¢ $9.09 52.00
Chris Brown 6% 4¢ 8¢ $12.50 1.5K
Kodak Black 6% ▲ 1 2¢ 10¢ $10.00 84.00
Tyla 6% ▲ 1 3¢ 9¢ $11.11 1.2K
Doechii 6% 6¢ 26¢ $3.85 3.7K
Lola Young 6% 4¢ 8¢ $12.50 344
Dolly Parton 6% ▲ 2 2¢ 10¢ $10.00 4.7K
David Guetta 6% ▲ 1 1¢ 10¢ $10.00
Linkin Park 6% 1¢ 10¢ $10.00 102
Daft Punk 6% ▲ 1 1¢ 10¢ $10.00
Kid Cudi 6% ▲ 1 1¢ 10¢ $10.00 9.00
Fred again.. 6% ▲ 1 2¢ 9¢ $11.11 917
Sia 5% ▲ 1 1¢ 9¢ $11.11
Sam Smith 5% ▲ 1 1¢ 9¢ $11.11 60.00
USHER 5% ▲ 1 1¢ 9¢ $11.11 101
Pharrell Williams 5% 3¢ 7¢ $14.29 440
Offset 5% ▲ 1 1¢ 9¢ $11.11 6.00
EsDeeKid 5% 3¢ 7¢ $14.29 1.6K
Trippie Redd 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 538
Charlie Puth 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 950
2 Chainz 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 651
Camilo 5% ▲ 1 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 40.00
Logic 5% ▲ 1 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 25.00
Charli xcx 5% ▲ 1 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 3.8K
ROSALÍA 5% ▲ 1 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 1.0K
Childish Gambino 5% ▲ 1 1¢ 8¢ $12.50 250
Lil Yachty 5% 3¢ 6¢ $16.67 138
J Balvin 4% ▲ 1 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 1.00
Maroon 5 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 115
Justin Timberlake 4% ▲ 1 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 351
BLACKPINK 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 4.9K
Migos 4% ▼ 31 4¢ 33¢ $3.03 8.00
The Kid LAROI 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 2.0K
NF 4% ▲ 1 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 127
mgk 4% 2¢ 6¢ $16.67 772
Frank Ocean 4% 3¢ 5¢ $20.00 56.00
Clairo 4% ▲ 1 1¢ 7¢ $14.29 435
Anuel AA 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 25.00
Quavo 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 311
Jason Derulo 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 145
Swae Lee 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 356
Big Sean 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 52.00
Ice Spice 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 146
The Marías 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 402
Grimes 4% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 157
Khalid 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 10.00
Beyoncé 3% 8¢ 63¢ $1.59 2.8K
J. Cole 3% 11¢ $9.09 16.8K
Shawn Mendes 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 39.00
Bebe Rexha 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 150
Fall Out Boy 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 75.00
Lewis Capaldi 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 708
Roddy Ricch 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 944
Daniel Caesar 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 51.00
Bryson Tiller 3% 3¢ 96¢ $1.04 5.00
Lil Nas X 3% 3¢ 18¢ $5.56 596
Addison Rae 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 936
Shaboozey 3% ▼ 8 6¢ 17¢ $5.88 1.5K
Calvin Harris 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 250
Tyga 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 10.00
Ed Sheeran 1% 1¢ 17¢ $5.88 410
Lil Baby 1% 6¢ 38¢ $2.63 1.3K
Geese 1% ▼ 5 1¢ 12¢ $8.33 370

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Lana Del Rey, Zach Bryan, Tate McRae

Search ›

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All music ›

Junior Eurovision Winner 2026

99%Armenia
  • Armenia99%▲ 56
  • Albania<1%▼ 1
  • Azerbaijan<1%▼ 1
15 more
  • Croatia<1%▼ 2
  • Cyprus<1%▼ 4
  • France<1%▼ 13
  • Georgia<1%▼ 6
  • Ireland<1%▼ 14
  • Italy<1%▼ 1
  • Malta<1%▼ 22
  • Montenegro<1%▼ 2
  • Netherlands<1%▼ 2
  • North Macedonia<1%▼ 9
  • Poland<1%▼ 7
  • Portugal<1%▼ 1
  • San Marino<1%▼ 4
  • Spain<1%▼ 25
  • Ukraine<1%▼ 16

Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Headliner(s) (2027)

82%JAY-Z
  • JAY-Z82%▲ 6
  • Beyoncé25%▲ 5
  • Miley Cyrus11%▲ 7
54 more
  • Harry Styles7%▼ 1
  • Taylor Swift7%▲ 2
  • Justin Bieber6%▼ 1
  • Lady Gaga6%▲ 2
  • Rihanna4%
  • Kanye West / Ye4%
  • Ariana Grande3%
  • Lil Wayne2%▼ 1
  • Sabrina Carpenter2%▲ 1
  • Cardi B2%▲ 1
  • Ella Langley2%▲ 1
  • Oasis2%
  • Adele2%
  • AC/DC2%
  • BTS2%
  • Imagine Dragons2%
  • Guns N' Roses2%
  • Eagles2%
  • Katy Perry2%
  • Linkin Park2%
  • SZA2%
  • Travis Scott2%
  • Backstreet Boys2%
  • Elton John2%
  • Pink2%
  • Pearl Jam2%
  • Chris Brown2%
  • Christina Aguilera2%
  • Doja Cat2%
  • Megan Thee Stallion2%
  • Ice Spice2%
  • Cynthia Erivo2%
  • Tyler, The Creator2%
  • Tate McRae2%▼ 3
  • Drake2%
  • Billie Eilish2%
  • Foo Fighters2%
  • Lil Baby2%
  • Chappell Roan2%
  • Post Malone2%
  • Dua Lipa2%
  • Metallica2%
  • Morgan Wallen2%▼ 1
  • Karol G2%
  • Green Day2%
  • Coldplay2%
  • Mariah Carey2%
  • BLACKPINK2%
  • Outkast2%
  • T-Pain2%
  • Stevie Wonder2%
  • Sexyy Red1%
  • Ed Sheeran1%
  • Madonna1%
KalshiCloses Feb 15, 2027 · $7.2K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions