Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
90%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party90%
- Republican Party10%
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TX-28 House winner? (2026)
The odds
93%Henry Cuellar
- Henry Cuellar93%▲ 1
- Tano Tijerina6%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Henry Cuellar: 92% on Oct 20, 93% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Cuellar | 93% | ▲ 1 | 93¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 185.7K |
| Tano Tijerina | 6% | ▼ 2 | 5¢ | 7¢ | $14.08 | 55.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: TX- House, Henry Cuellar, Tano Tijerina
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Sheriffs Deny Endorsing Greg AbbottOct 22, 2026 at 06:42 AM EDT Oct 22, 2026 at 11:16 AM EDT At least three Democratic sheriffs who Texas Governor Greg Abbott said had endorsed him have denied doing so. Abbott, a Republican locked in a tight race against Democratic… - Press Release: Rep. Henry Cuellar Announces $1.46 Million in Title I Funding for Duval County SchoolsCuellar announces $1.46 million in federal Title I funding for Duval County schools to support low-income students. Cuellar announces school funding: Rep. Henry Cuellar said $1,464,618 in federal Title I funding is being provided to school…
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Gov. Abbott says 3 Democratic Texas sheriffs endorsed his campaign. They say that’s not true.At least three Democratic sheriffs whom Texas Gov. Greg Abbott touted as supporting his election campaign deny having done so. In a Monday press release, the Republican governor announced a dozen endorsements from Democratic sheriffs in… -
ANCA Post-Election Townhall to Map Out Armenian American Agenda for the New CongressWASHINGTON, DC – Fresh off the November 3rd midterm elections, the Armenian National Committee of America (ANCA) will host a nationwide online townhall meeting bringing together Armenian Americans to review our impact at the ballot box and… -
Texas GOP’s Bet on Latinos May Backfire—How Democrats Could Seal the DealOct 23, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Texas Republicans redrew the state's congressional map last year on the assumption that Latino voters who broke for President Donald Trump in 2024 would stay with the party. With less than two weeks until… -
More than 4,300 ballots cast on second day of early voting in Webb CountyA "Vote Here" sign stands outside the Joe A. Guerra Laredo Public Library, located at 1120 E. Calton Road, welcoming voters during the 2025 bond referendum election. Early voting continued Tuesday for the 2026 midterm election in Webb… -
ANCA-WR Announces 2026 General Election EndorsementsLOS ANGELES, CA – The Armenian National Committee of America, Western Region (ANC U.S. House of Representatives: Nevada Dina Titus, NV-1 (2026 Report Card: A+)Susie Lee, NV-3 (2026 Report Card: A-)Steven Horsford, NV-4 (2026 Report Card… -
Webb County tax assessor opposes possible move to Casa Blanca BallroomLAREDO, Tex. (KGNS) - Webb County now owns the Casa Blanca Ballroom on Highway 59. Commissioners say no final use is set, but Tax Assessor-Collector Patricia Barrera fears her office will be relocated there. Barrera voiced her concerns… -
Elections Forecaster Shifts 19 More House Races In Democrats’ FavorA major elections forecaster shifted 19 House races in the Democrats’ favor Friday, including Republican-held seats. The nonpartisan Cook Political Report shifted some races from “Lean Republican” to a “Toss Up” and others from “Solid… -
Your favorite cause is not the civil rights movement and neither is mineSubscribe: Apple Podcasts | Spotify | YouTube | Overcast | Pocket Casts The civil rights movement was the defining moral drama of 20th-century American domestic politics. So American progressives are both very proud of the civil rights… -
Midterms: In which districts will the Hispanic vote be most decisive?In November, 39 million Latino voters, 5 million more than in the 2022 midterms, are expected to go to the polls, accounting for 16% of the total, up 1 percentage point from two years ago. Published October 21, 2026, 7:17 AM ET… -
Cuellar stresses his Appropriations standing, Tijerina says he can gain a seatU.S. Rep. Henry Cuellar, Democrat-Laredo, and Webb County Judge Tano Tijerina, Republican. The race for Texas’ 28th Congressional District officially kicks off Monday, as Laredo and Webb County residents head to the polls for the first day…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions