Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
90%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party90%
- Republican Party10%
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PA-08 House winner? (2026)
The odds
82%Paige Cognetti
- Paige Cognetti82%▲ 2
- Rob Bresnahan18%▼ 3
How the odds have moved
Paige Cognetti: 73% on Oct 20, 82% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Cognetti | 82% | ▲ 2 | 81¢ | 82¢ | $1.22 | 58.1K |
| Rob Bresnahan | 18% | ▼ 3 | 17¢ | 18¢ | $5.56 | 153.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: PA- House, Paige Cognetti, Rob Bresnahan
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Democrats Bob Brooks, Paige Cognetti lead GOP incumbents in pair of key Pa. swing seatsRepublicans are on pace to lose the two U.S. House seats they flipped just two years ago, according to a new Inquirer/New York Times/Siena University poll. Democratic congressional candidates in a pair of Pennsylvania swing districts have… -
Pa. House passes bill to limit automatic license plate readersCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Pa. House… -
In Q3, Paige Cognetti more than doubles U.S. Rep. Rob Bresnahan’s haulThe Black Chronicle (The Center Square) â Scranton Mayor Paige Cognetti, the Democratic candidate challenging incumbent Republican U.S. Rep. Rob Bresnahan for the commonwealthâs 8th Congressional District, continues to lead in… -
"All Sides Now:" Pa. House District 143The candidates running in the 2026 Pa. House District 143 are, from left, Democrat Tim Hayes, independent Christopher Gambino and Republican Shelby Labs. It's a right-leaning district, according to the most recent voter registration data… -
'Brave' Bob Brooks Bravely Runs Away From PA House DebateI am a big fan of the British comedy group Monty Python. Their second-best movie (after "Monty Python’s Life of Brian") is "Monty Python and the Holy Grail." This is a comedy about the legendary King Arthur of Britain and his knights of… - Election Board: Cognetti makes her case on health care, tariffs and IranScranton Mayor Paige Cognetti responds to questions during a meeting with the Times Leader Editorial Board. Scranton Mayor Paige Cognetti takes a question during a meeting with the Times Leader Editorial Board. Scranton Mayor Paige…
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Election 2026: Candidates stake out positions in in 147th Dist. PA House raceA former management consultant with an MBA and scientist with a Ph.D. is looking to oust the incumbent Republican in the race for the Pennsylvania 147th House District race. Margaret Burke, 58, is the Democratic candidate seeking to unseat… -
Candidate Q&A: Rob Bresnahan for Congresswww.pikecountycourier.com Candidate Q&A: Rob Bresnahan for Congress Two candidates are running in the general election to represent the Eighth Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives. Why are you running for Congress? I… -
PA House Approves Support For Shrinking News Operations Across StateHARRISBURG, PA —The state House has approved a legislative package intended to help support struggling and shrinking news operations across Pennsylvania. Approved on Wednesday were two measures introduced by Christopher Rabb, a… -
"Both Sides Now:" Pa. House District 141Democrat Tina Marie Davis and Republican Kenneth James Velez are running for state representative in Pennsylvania House District 141 in 2026. The district leans to the left with 22,216 voters registering as Democrats and 14,444 registered… -
PA House and Senate pass ban on phones in schools, recent study suggests the effects will be minimal - Glenside LocalOctober 22nd, 2026 | By Ryan Genova The Pennsylvania House and Senate have passed a bell-to-bell ban on cellphones in schools. The Senate approved Senate Bill 1014 47-3 on Wednesday after the State House passed it earlier this week by a… - Election Board: Bresnahan defends Medicaid vote, says he never directed stock tradesRep. Rob Bresnahan, R-Dallas Twp., meets with the Times Leader Editorial Board on Tuesday afternoon, Oct. 20, 2026, in Wilkes-Barre. Elizabeth Baumeister | Times Leader WILKES-BARRE — U.S. Rep. Rob Bresnahan Jr. said he wanted to clarify…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions