Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
91%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party91%▼ 1
- Republican Party9%▲ 1
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CA-45 House winner? (2026)
The odds
93%Derek Tran
- Derek Tran93%▼ 1
- Chuong Vo7%
How the odds have moved
Derek Tran: 92% on Oct 20, 93% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derek Tran | 93% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | 93¢ | $1.08 | 32.4K |
| Chuong Vo | 7% | 7¢ | 7¢ | $14.71 | 89.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Derek Tran, Chuong Vo
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Congressional Candidate Chuong Vo Signed Florida Second-Home Mortgage, Then Obtained Primary Residence Tax ExemptionCERRITOS — Former Cerritos Mayor and Republican congressional candidate Chuong Vo signed mortgage documents in September 2024 expressly identifying his $722,000 Florida waterfront property as a second home. Yet the property subsequently… -
Rep. Derek Tran and California Congressional Democrats Visit ICE Facility, Demand Accountability for Reports of Unsafe, Filthy ConditionsWashington, D.C.– U.S. Representative Derek Tran (CA-45) and members of the California Congressional delegation conducted an unannounced oversight visit to Adelanto ICE Processing Center in Adelanto, California. Alongside Rep. Rep. Derek… - Press Release: Rep. Derek Tran and California Democrats Visit Adelanto ICE Facility for OversightTran and California Democrats inspected an ICE facility, alleging unsafe conditions and seeking accountability. Lawmakers visit Adelanto ICE center: Rep. Derek Tran and several other California House Democrats said they made an unannounced…
- Press Release: Derek Tran introduces bill to expand housing tax relief for rentersRepresentative Tran introduced legislation to provide renter tax credits and ease housing costs in Southern California. Tran presents housing-cost bill: Representative Derek Tran said he introduced the “COST” Act to help renters in…
- Press Release: Rep. Derek Tran comments on Orange County’s $125 million GKN Aerospace settlementRepresentative Tran comments on a proposed $125 million settlement over a toxic chemical incident and its evacuation impacts. Tran comments on GKN settlement: Rep. Derek Tran said he was “relieved” that Orange County and GKN Aerospace…
- Press Release: Derek Tran comments on $125 million GKN Aerospace settlementDerek Tran comments on a $125 million GKN Aerospace settlement after a hazardous chemicals incident forced evacuations. Settlement announced: Orange County officials said they reached a $125 million settlement with GKN Aerospace tied to a…
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Derek Tran and Chuong Vo look to their families when it comes to immigration policy in the race for California’s 45th Congressional DistrictWhen it comes to Congress’ role in developing the country’s immigration policy over the next few years, Rep. Derek Tran and former Cerritos Mayor Chuong Vo, the candidates for California’s 45th Congressional District, turn to their own… -
We asked Orange County congressional candidates about their favorite books. Here’s what they had to sayCandidates don’t often have a lot of downtime in the midst of an election. But when they do, what are they picking up to read? The Southern California News Group asked the candidates vying to represent you several questions in order to… -
Crypto Super PAC Fairshake Pours Millions More Into Defeating Sherrod BrownCrypto’s biggest political spender is turning up the pressure on one of the industry’s fiercest critics. Fairshake has reported fresh spending to defeat Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown in Ohio, pushing its total outlay against the former… -
Why Is Fairshake Spending More Against Sherrod Brown?A new filing with the Federal Election Commission details fresh outlays aimed at defeating Brown. According to the filing, Defend American Jobs reported a $5.2 million media buy opposing him, followed by another roughly $1.95 million buy… -
Congresswoman Luz Rivas Joins Colleagues for Unannounced Oversight Visit at Adelanto, Raises Concerns About Inhumane ConditionsAdelanto, California — Congresswoman Luz Rivas (CA-29), representative for California’s 29th Congressional District, conducted an unannounced Congressional oversight visit of the Adelanto ICE Detention Center with her colleagues…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.