Which party will win the U.S. House? (2026)
91%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party91%▼ 1
- Republican Party9%
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CA-22 House winner? (2026)
The odds
91%Randy Villegas
- Randy Villegas91%
- David Valadao9%
How the odds have moved
Randy Villegas: 90% on Oct 20, 91% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Randy Villegas | 91% | 90¢ | 91¢ | $1.10 | 60.0K | |
| David Valadao | 9% | 8¢ | 10¢ | $10.10 | 94.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: CA- House, Randy Villegas, David Valadao
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Randy Villegas is looking to oust a ‘chickensh-t’ RepublicanBetter Know a Democrat is an interview series to give voters a closer look at candidates in competitive races across the U.S. California’s 22nd District is one of many to feel the ongoing impacts of President Donald Trump’s mass… -
Valadao, Villegas pour millions into closely watched race for California's 22nd DistrictCALIFORNIA (KFSN) -- California's 22nd Congressional District race has become one of the most closely watched contests of the midterm election cycle, with the two candidates raising more than $11.5 million combined in a race that could… -
About One in Five Voters Hit with Duplicate Mail Ballots in Vendor Blunder in This California County [WATCH]Nearly 7,800 Tulare County voters received duplicate vote-by-mail ballots because of a vendor error during the ballot replacement process, according to county election officials. The mistake affected voters in the city of Tulare as a… -
Redistricting Revamp: Races in redrawn districts could determine control of HouseSeveral contests for the U.S. House in California could determine the partisan control of Congress in the 2026 midterm elections. In November 2025, California voters approved Proposition 50, a measure to redraw congressional districts in… - Nearly 7,800 Tulare County voters receive duplicate vote-by-mail ballots ( California Elections )VISALIA, Calif. -- Nearly 7,800 Tulare County voters received duplicate vote-by-mail ballots after a vendor error during the ballot replacement process, according to county election officials. The Tulare County Registrar of Voters became…
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The Latino District Where Broken Healthcare Pledges and ICE Vans Are Defining the Midtermsinkl The Latino District Where Broken Healthcare Pledges and ICE Vans Are Defining the Midterms - David Valadao cast the deciding vote on the May 22 initial House passage of the "One Big Beautiful Bill" — which cut Medicaid — after… -
The progressive using diesel prices to his advantage10/15/2026 07:30 PM EDT With help from Noah Baustin and Riley Ramirez Democrat Randy Villegas is criticizing his opponent over diesel prices. | Jae C. Hong/AP START YOUR ENGINES: The nationwide angst over soaring diesel prices has made its… -
HMP Launches New Ads in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, North Carolina, New Mexico, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, South Carolina, Virginia, Washington, and WisconsinWashington, D.C. – House Majority PAC is launching new television ads across 25 districts in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, North Carolina, New Mexico, New York, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, South Carolina… -
BEYOND THE PODIUM: Could a Central Valley race help decide control of Congress?FRESNO, Calif. (FOX26) — With less than three weeks until Election Day, a Central Valley congressional race could help determine which party controls the U.S. House of Representatives. The Cook Political Report shifted 11 House race… - Largest Federal Employee Union Endorses 2 Additional California Candidates for Election to CongressAFGE says endorsed candidates will support federal workers and their rights LAKEWOOD, Calif. –– The American Federation of Government Employees today announced its endorsement of two additional candidates for election to the U.S. House…
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Latest elections commission filings show millions spent in CD22, much of it from outsideIt's no secret that one of the most competitive congressional races in the nation is awash in campaign cash and the latest filings with the Federal Election Commission shed light on just how much is being spent and where it's coming from… -
Races in redrawn districts could determine control of HouseSeveral contests for the U.S. House in California could determine the partisan control of Congress in the 2026 midterm elections. In November 2025, California voters approved Proposition 50, a measure to redraw congressional districts in…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.