Global Sea Level (Dec 2027)
103.9median
82.3129.8
Median 103.9
Install
Global Sea Level (Dec 2030)
The odds
47%Above 77.5
72.5167.5
How the odds have moved
Above 77.5: 47% on Oct 20, 47% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on ForecastEx.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 77.5 | 47% | $2.13 | ||||
| Above 82.5 | 47% | $2.13 | ||||
| Above 87.5 | 47% | $2.13 | 590 | |||
| Above 92.5 | 47% | $2.13 | 590 | |||
| Above 97.5 | 47% | $2.13 | 590 | |||
| Above 102.5 | 47% | $2.13 | 590 | |||
| Above 107.5 | 47% | $2.13 | 550 | |||
| Above 112.5 | 47% | $2.13 | 550 | |||
| Above 117.5 | 40% | $2.50 | 350 | |||
| Above 122.5 | 25% | $4.00 | 200 | |||
| Above 125 | 21% | $4.88 | 150 | |||
| Above 127.5 | 21% | $4.88 | 100 | |||
| Above 130 | 21% | $4.88 | 30.00 | |||
| Above 132.5 | 21% | $4.88 | 30.00 | |||
| Above 135 | <1% | |||||
| Above 137.5 | <1% | |||||
| Above 142.5 | <1% | |||||
| Above 147.5 | <1% | |||||
| Above 152.5 | <1% | |||||
| Above 157.5 | <1% | |||||
| Above 162.5 | <1% |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Global Sea Level
Search ›-
‘Doomsday Glacier’ could double sea-level rise by 2100One of the world’s largest glaciers is melting much faster than previously understood and could contribute about twice as much to global sea-level rise by the end of the century as earlier projections suggested. New research published this… -
Accounting For Daily Weather Variability May Give More Realistic Estimation Of Glacier Melt: StudyNEW DELHI, Oct 20: Glaciers worldwide could lose ice faster than previously projected, contributing more to global sea-level rise, as conventional models based on monthly weather averages may underestimate the impact of short-term… -
Scientists warn the worst may be yet to come as Super El Niño is waking uphttps://latination.com/ Watch on the app Scientists issue horror warning as potentially catastrophic impact of Super El Niño is near - Climate experts issue an urgent warning regarding the imminent impact of the climate phenomenon known as… -
NASA Study Refines Projections for Thwaites GlacierNASA Science (.gov) NASA Study Refines Projections for Thwaites GlacierAntarcticaâs Thwaites Glacier pictured in 2014 A new study using a computer model developed by NASAâs Jet Propulsion Laboratory along with the University of… -
Antarctica's Doomsday Glacier is melting twice as fast as we previously thoughtAlready considered one of the biggest climate threats in the world, the melting of Thwaites glacier is much worse that we thought. The collapse of Antarctica's Thwaites Glacier is already a major concern as the world continues to warm, but… -
Study Finds Daily Weather Variations Key to More Accurate Glacier Melt EstimatesNEW DELHI, Oct 20: Glaciers worldwide could be losing ice faster than previously estimated, as conventional climate models may fail to capture the full impact of short-lived heatwaves and other daily weather fluctuations, according to a… -
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New Study Reveals How Many Times Earth’s True North and South Poles Have Wandered“This is an exciting finding,” Richard Gordon said of his research with his former student Daniel Woodworth Earth’s true North and South poles are moving at a faster rate than before, according to a new study. Over the past 320 million… -
Estimating the Sea Level Rise Responsibility of Industrial Carbon ProducersA peer-reviewed article in Environmental Research Letters. Estimating the Sea Level Rise Responsibility of Industrial Carbon Producers Published Mar 18, 2025 A peer-reviewed article in Environmental Research Letters. Global mean sea levels… - Daily weather extremes raise projected glacier losses in new modelling studyGlacier projections can change substantially when models account for weather from day to day instead of smoothing it into monthly averages, according to research highlighted by Vrije Universiteit Brussel on 19 October. The study examines…
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In West Antarctica, a Thwaites Glacier model checked against 27 years of satellite records projects it could add up to about 1.2 inches to global seas by 2100, and that is roughly double earlier estimatesHome - Environment - In West Antarctica, a Thwaites Glacier model checked against 27 years of satellite records projects it could add up to about 1.2 inches to global seas by 2100, and that is roughly double earlier estimates From March to… -
‘Mayday in the sky’: easyJet jet forced to divert after emergency signalAn easyJet flight bound for Southampton was forced to divert to Liverpool after declaring a mid-air emergency just 25 minutes after departing Glasgow, prompting an unscheduled landing and delaying passengers’ journeys. Flight U2415… -
Antarctica’s ‘Doomsday Glacier’ Could Raise Sea Levels by 1.2 Inches by 2100Warm seawater is reaching deep beneath Antarctica’s Thwaites Glacier, and new research suggests the process could make its contribution to global sea-level rise roughly twice as large as earlier models projected. A study published October…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Search. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Search, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Search index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Search Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.