S&P price at year-end? (On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST)

Kalshi Closes Dec 31 · 65.5K contracts · prices read 10 min ago

The odds

7,560median

6,8008,600

Median 7,560Middle half 7,211 – 7,776

How the odds have moved

Median: 7,873 on Oct 13, 7,560 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Contracts
6,900 or above	88%	▼ 9	83¢	91¢	3.4K
7,000 or above	88%	▲ 4	89¢	90¢	2.3K
7,100 or above	78%	▼ 9	74¢	86¢	1.1K
7,200 or above	76%	▼ 10	69¢	81¢	863
7,300 or above	67%	▼ 19	65¢	69¢	3.6K
7,400 or above	59%	▼ 16	56¢	61¢	3.5K
7,500 or above	56%	▼ 10	49¢	60¢	2.5K
7,600 or above	46%	▼ 16	44¢	48¢	13.5K
7,700 or above	33%	▼ 13	28¢	38¢	6.4K
7,800 or above	23%	▼ 22	21¢	24¢	11.8K
7,900 or above	20%	▼ 6	14¢	23¢	6.6K
8,000 or above	20%		5¢	22¢	4.0K
8,100 or above	10%	▼ 9	5¢	14¢	715
8,200 or above	7%	▼ 6		14¢	1.4K
8,300 or above	7%	▲ 3	4¢	12¢	945
8,400 or above	5%	▲ 1	2¢	8¢	696
8,500 or above	3%		1¢	5¢	2.2K

Related markets

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Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)

87%chance▼ 7

^GSPC−4.36%IVV−4.41%ES=F−4.76%VOO−4.37%

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

86%S&P 500

S&P 50086%▲ 1
Gold9%▲ 6
Bitcoin6%▼ 5

^GSPC−4.36%VOO−4.37%SPY−4.41%IVV−4.41%

S&P close price end of 2026?

7,596median

3,8009,200

Median 7,596Middle half 7,146 – 7,875Above today's price 67%

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F−4.76%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

8,000high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,000.

Reaches 8,00050%
Reaches 8,20014%
Reaches 8,6004%
Reaches 9,0004%

Falls to 7,20043%
Falls to 7,00043%
Falls to 6,2006%
Falls to 6,0005%

Already reached: ↓ $7,400, ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F−4.76%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026?

$750.79high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $750.79 and as low as $705.79.

Reaches $75052%
Reaches $76033%
Reaches $77023%
Reaches $78014%

Falls to $73091%
Falls to $72074%
Falls to $71056%
Falls to $70042%

Already reached: ↓ $760, ↓ $750, ↓ $740, ↑ $760, ↓ $760, ↑ $740

SPY−4.41%^GSPC−4.36%IVV−4.41%VOO−4.37%

Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?

28,067median

18,50033,500

Median 28,067Middle half 25,624 – 29,902Above today's price 66%

^NDX−6.36%NQ=F−6.88%QQQ−6.49%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onGoogle Finance

Trading closesDec 31, 2026 4:00 PM ET

Traded65.5K contracts

Prices read10 min ago

Followed sinceOct 13, 2026

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

On Predictions

All the news about its subject, the headlines behind each big move, and a Follow button that tracks it like a stock.

Open it on Predictions ›

Reading the odds

Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

The strikes' odds give a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way, and the middle half spans the 25th to the 75th percentile.

Every prediction market

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use. How to use Finance