What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026?

Polymarket Closes Nov 30 · $47.8K traded · prices read 8 min ago

The odds

$751.03high with an even chance
SPY now 733.00 −4.41%

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $751.03 and as low as $703.93.

  • Reaches $75052%
  • Reaches $76033%
  • Reaches $77023%
  • Reaches $78014%
  • Reaches $79011%
  • Reaches $8006%
  • Reaches $8105%
  • Reaches $8203%
  • Falls to $73092%
  • Falls to $72073%
  • Falls to $71059%
  • Falls to $70045%
  • Falls to $69033%
  • Falls to $68028%

Already reached: ↓ $760, ↓ $750, ↓ $740, ↑ $760, ↓ $760, ↑ $740

How the odds have moved

Falls to $720: 50% on Oct 25, 73% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
✓ ↑ $740 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $110
↑ $750 52% 39¢ 65¢
✓ ↑ $760 >99% ▲ 16 100¢ 100¢ $60.00
↑ $760 33% 21¢ 44¢
↑ $770 23% ▼ 66 14¢ 31¢ $1.0K
↑ $780 14% ▼ 51 10¢ 17¢ $2.5K
↑ $790 11% ▼ 26 7¢ 14¢ $1.5K
↑ $800 6% ▼ 11 3¢ 8¢ $1.2K
↑ $810 5% ▼ 2 2¢ 7¢ $1.7K
↑ $820 3% 1¢ 4¢ $529
↑ $830 3% 1¢ 5¢ $1.6K
↓ $680 28% 19¢ 36¢ $671
↓ $690 33% 24¢ 42¢ $710
↓ $700 45% ▲ 38 39¢ 50¢ $8.1K
↓ $710 59% ▲ 50 54¢ 63¢ $4.9K
↓ $720 73% ▲ 60 65¢ 81¢ $3.9K
↓ $730 92% ▲ 70 87¢ 96¢ $4.7K
✓ ↓ $740 >99% ▲ 56 100¢ 100¢ $4.6K
✓ ↓ $750 >99% ▲ 47 100¢ 100¢ $9.5K
✓ ↓ $760 >99% ▲ 7 100¢ 100¢ $357
✓ ↓ $760 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $111

More on this question

All indexes ›

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use. How to use Finance