Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in December (Dec 9, 2026 meeting)

Kalshi Closes Dec 9 · 451 contracts · prices read 33 min ago

The odds

84%Maintain current rate
  • Maintain current rate84%▲ 9
  • Cut more than 25bps6%▲ 1
  • Cut 1-25bps5%▼ 11
  • Hike 1-25bps3%▼ 9
  • Hike more than 25bps3%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Maintain current rate: 71% on Nov 5, 84% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Contracts
Maintain current rate 84% ▲ 9 80¢ 87¢ 67.00
Cut more than 25bps 6% ▲ 1 1¢ 10¢
Cut 1-25bps 5% ▼ 11 2¢ 7¢ 377
Hike 1-25bps 3% ▼ 9 1¢ 5¢ 7.00
Hike more than 25bps 3% ▼ 1 1¢ 5¢

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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