Predictions › Central banks & rates Turkey rate decision in December (Dec 10, 2026 meeting) Kalshi Closes Dec 10 · 7.1K contracts · prices read 32 min ago
Cut 1-250bps 72% Maintain current rate 24% Hike 1-250bps 2% Cut more than 250bps 1% Hike more than 250bps 1%
Cut 1-250bps: 74% on Oct 23, 72% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Maintain current rate 89% ▲ 1 Hike 1-25bps 9% ▼ 3 Cut 1-25bps 1% Hike more than 25bps 1% ▼ 2 1 more Maintain current rate 84% ▲ 9 Cut more than 25bps 6% ▲ 1 Cut 1-25bps 5% ▼ 11 Hike 1-25bps 3% ▼ 9 1 more Hike more than 25bps 3% ▼ 1 Hike 1-25bps 65% ▼ 1 Maintain current rate 31% ▲ 6 Hike more than 25bps 3% Cut 1-25bps 1% 1 more 25 bps increase 68% ▼ 3 No change 30% ▲ 8 50+ bps increase 2% ▼ 1 25 bps decrease 2% ▲ 1 1 more No change 90% ▲ 1 25 bps increase 8% ▲ 1 25 bps decrease 2% 50+ bps increase 1% 1 more Maintain current rate 89% ▲ 2 Hike 1-25bps 6% ▼ 1 Cut 1-25bps 2% Cut more than 25bps 1% 1 more Hike more than 25bps 1% ▼ 1 Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Settles on Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye, Trading Economics
Trading closes Dec 10, 2026 6:59 AM ET
Traded 7.1K contracts
Prices read 32 min ago
Followed since Oct 21, 2026
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Reading the odds Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
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