Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
90%No change
- No change90%▲ 1
- 25 bps increase8%▲ 1
- 25 bps decrease2%
- 50+ bps increase1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Install
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in December (Dec 7, 2026 meeting)
The odds
89%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate89%▲ 2
- Hike 1-25bps6%▼ 1
- Cut 1-25bps2%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
- Hike more than 25bps1%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Maintain current rate: 76% on Nov 3, 89% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | 89% | ▲ 2 | 89¢ | 91¢ | 22.00 |
| Hike 1-25bps | 6% | ▼ 1 | 4¢ | 8¢ | 274 |
| Cut 1-25bps | 2% | 1¢ | 4¢ | 10.00 | |
| Cut more than 25bps | 1% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 22.00 | |
| Hike more than 25bps | 1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | 10.00 |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
61%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase61%▼ 11
- No change28%▲ 4
- 50+ bps increase3%
- 25 bps decrease2%▲ 1
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
New Zealand rate decision in December (Dec 8, 2026 meeting)
58%Hike 1-25bps
- Hike 1-25bps58%▼ 9
- Maintain current rate28%▲ 2
- Hike more than 25bps3%
- Cut 1-25bps1%
1 more
- Cut more than 25bps1%
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in December (Dec 9, 2026 meeting)
84%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate84%▲ 10
- Cut more than 25bps5%▲ 1
- Cut 1-25bps4%▼ 11
- Hike 1-25bps3%▼ 9
1 more
- Hike more than 25bps3%▼ 1
Swiss National Bank rate decision in December (Dec 10, 2026 meeting)
89%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate89%▲ 1
- Hike 1-25bps9%▼ 3
- Cut 1-25bps1%
- Hike more than 25bps1%▼ 2
1 more
- Cut more than 25bps<1%
Turkey rate decision in December (Dec 10, 2026 meeting)
72%Cut 1-250bps
- Cut 1-250bps72%
- Maintain current rate24%
- Hike 1-250bps2%
- Cut more than 250bps1%
1 more
- Hike more than 250bps1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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