Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
74%No change
- No change74%▼ 10
- 25 bps increase25%▲ 9
- 50+ bps increase<1%
- 25 bps decrease<1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
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Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
The odds
79%No change
- No change79%▲ 11
- 25 bps increase17%▼ 8
- 50+ bps increase3%▼ 1
- 25 bps decrease1%
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
How the odds have moved
No change: 79% on Oct 13, 79% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change | 79% | ▲ 11 | 79¢ | 80¢ | $3.8K |
| 25 bps increase | 17% | ▼ 8 | 17¢ | 18¢ | $3.0K |
| 50+ bps increase | 3% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 5¢ | $430 |
| 25 bps decrease | 1% | 0¢ | 2¢ | $381 | |
| 50+ bps decrease | <1% | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1.3K |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
57%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase57%▲ 1
- No change38%▲ 7
- 50+ bps increase3%▼ 1
- 50+ bps decrease1%
1 more
- 25 bps decrease1%
Swiss National Bank rate decision in December (Dec 10, 2026 meeting)
77%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate77%▼ 19
- Hike 1-25bps20%▲ 13
- Cut more than 25bps1%
- Cut 1-25bps1%
1 more
- Hike more than 25bps1%
Reserve Bank of India decision in December
63%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase63%▼ 6
- No Change21%▲ 1
- 50+ bps increase12%▲ 1
- 25 bps decrease3%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease1%
Bank of Mexico rate decision in December (Dec 17, 2026 meeting)
77%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate77%
- Cut 25bps11%
- Hike 25bps4%
- Cut more than 50bps2%
3 more
- Cut 50bps2%
- Hike 50bps2%
- Hike more than 50bps2%
Bank of Mexico rate decision in November (Nov 5, 2026 meeting)
74%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate74%▲ 6
- Cut 25bps16%▼ 3
- Hike 25bps4%▼ 1
- Hike 50bps3%
3 more
- Hike more than 50bps2%
- Cut more than 50bps<1%
- Cut 50bps<1%
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