Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision in December?
68%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase68%▼ 3
- No change30%▲ 8
- 50+ bps increase2%▼ 1
- 25 bps decrease2%▲ 1
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Install
New Zealand rate decision in December (Dec 8, 2026 meeting)
The odds
65%Hike 1-25bps
- Hike 1-25bps65%▼ 1
- Maintain current rate31%▲ 6
- Hike more than 25bps3%
- Cut 1-25bps1%
- Cut more than 25bps<1%
How the odds have moved
Hike 1-25bps: 49% on Oct 28, 65% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hike 1-25bps | 65% | ▼ 1 | 62¢ | 71¢ | 4.0K |
| Maintain current rate | 31% | ▲ 6 | 29¢ | 35¢ | 204 |
| Hike more than 25bps | 3% | 1¢ | 5¢ | 401 | |
| Cut 1-25bps | 1% | 2¢ | 2.8K | ||
| Cut more than 25bps | <1% | 1¢ | 2.0K |
More on this question
All central banks & rates ›Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in December
90%No change
- No change90%▲ 1
- 25 bps increase8%▲ 1
- 25 bps decrease2%
- 50+ bps increase1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Central Bank of Brazil rate decision in December (Dec 9, 2026 meeting)
84%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate84%▲ 9
- Cut more than 25bps6%▲ 1
- Cut 1-25bps5%▼ 11
- Hike 1-25bps3%▼ 9
1 more
- Hike more than 25bps3%▼ 1
Reserve Bank of Australia rate decision in December (Dec 7, 2026 meeting)
89%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate89%▲ 2
- Hike 1-25bps6%▼ 1
- Cut 1-25bps2%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
1 more
- Hike more than 25bps1%▼ 1
Swiss National Bank rate decision in December (Dec 10, 2026 meeting)
89%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate89%▲ 1
- Hike 1-25bps9%▼ 3
- Cut 1-25bps1%
- Hike more than 25bps1%▼ 2
1 more
- Cut more than 25bps<1%
Turkey rate decision in December (Dec 10, 2026 meeting)
72%Cut 1-250bps
- Cut 1-250bps72%
- Maintain current rate24%
- Hike 1-250bps2%
- Cut more than 250bps1%
1 more
- Hike more than 250bps1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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