What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of November 2 2026?

Polymarket Closes Fri 4:00 PM ET · $22.4K traded · prices read 14 min ago

The odds

Traders see as low as $721.78.

  • Reaches $74515%
  • Reaches $75015%
  • Reaches $75515%
  • Reaches $76015%
  • Reaches $77015%
  • Reaches $77515%
  • Reaches $78015%
  • Reaches $78515%
  • Falls to $73092%
  • Falls to $72571%
  • Falls to $72039%

Already reached: ↑ $765, ↑ $760, ↓ $755, ↓ $750, ↓ $745, ↓ $740

How the odds have moved

Falls to $735: 50% on Oct 31, >99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
✓ ↑ $740 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $10.00
↑ $745 15% 5¢ 21¢ $5.00
↑ $750 15% 1¢ 21¢
✓ ↑ $755 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $5.00
↑ $755 15% 1¢ 18¢
✓ ↑ $760 >99% ▲ 20 100¢ 100¢
✓ ↑ $760 >99% ▲ 28 100¢ 100¢ $105
↑ $760 15% 1¢ 19¢
✓ ↑ $765 >99% ▲ 53 100¢ 100¢ $357
↑ $770 15% ▼ 63 18¢ $752
↑ $775 15% ▼ 24 19¢ $2.0K
↑ $780 15% ▼ 2 20¢ $1.3K
↑ $785 15% 9¢ $162
↑ $790 15% ▲ 23 65¢ $2.00
↑ $795 15% ▼ 7 78¢ $5.00
↓ $720 39% 23¢ 54¢ $34.00
↓ $725 71% ▲ 68 61¢ 80¢ $1.0K
↓ $730 92% ▲ 91 85¢ 99¢ $1.4K
✓ ↓ $735 >99% ▲ 95 100¢ 100¢ $3.3K
✓ ↓ $740 >99% ▲ 91 100¢ 100¢ $2.0K
✓ ↓ $745 >99% ▲ 91 100¢ 100¢ $7.0K
✓ ↓ $750 >99% ▲ 82 100¢ 100¢ $1.4K
✓ ↓ $755 >99% ▲ 24 100¢ 100¢ $124
✓ ↓ $755 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $411
✓ ↓ $760 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $395
✓ ↓ $765 >99% 100¢ 100¢ $696

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 10 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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