Fed Decision in April?

Polymarket Closes Apr 28, 2027 · $35.6K traded · prices read 4 min ago

The odds

56%No change
  • No change56%▲ 2
  • 25 bps increase26%
  • 25 bps decrease12%▼ 2
  • 50+ bps decrease4%
  • 50+ bps increase2%

How the odds have moved

No change: 55% on Oct 29, 56% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
No change 56% ▲ 2 56¢ 57¢ $11.9K
25 bps increase 26% 25¢ 26¢ $16.2K
25 bps decrease 12% ▼ 2 11¢ 12¢ $3.0K
50+ bps decrease 4% 1¢ 7¢ $2.9K
50+ bps increase 2% 1¢ 2¢ $1.6K

The same question on Kalshi

Fed decision in Apr 2027?

57%Fed maintains rate
  • Fed maintains rate57%▲ 3
  • Hike 25bps27%▼ 3
  • Cut 25bps11%▲ 2
  • Cut >25bps4%▼ 1
1 more
  • Hike >25bps2%
Kalshi 57%Closes Apr 28, 2027 · 66.6K contracts

Shown side by side, not averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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