Fed Decision in March?

Polymarket Closes Mar 17, 2027 · $90.3K traded · prices read 16 min ago

The odds

51%25 bps increase
  • 25 bps increase51%▲ 4
  • No change42%▼ 5
  • 25 bps decrease4%
  • 50+ bps increase2%
  • 50+ bps decrease1%

How the odds have moved

25 bps increase: 53% on Oct 28, 51% now.

Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Traded
25 bps increase 51% ▲ 4 51¢ 52¢ $49.2K
No change 42% ▼ 5 42¢ 43¢ $22.1K
25 bps decrease 4% 4¢ 5¢ $6.9K
50+ bps increase 2% 1¢ 2¢ $6.2K
50+ bps decrease 1% 1¢ 1¢ $5.8K

The same question on Kalshi

Fed decision in Mar 2027?

53%Hike 25bps
  • Hike 25bps53%▲ 6
  • Fed maintains rate43%▼ 5
  • Cut 25bps2%▼ 4
  • Hike >25bps1%▼ 1
1 more
  • Cut >25bps1%▼ 1
Kalshi 53%Closes Mar 17, 2027 · 95.1K contracts

Shown side by side, not averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

More on this question

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 16 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

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