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Bristol Bay sockeye run forecast for 2027
The odds
51.9median
21.061
Median 51.9Middle half 50.3 – 53.6
How the odds have moved
Median: 44.7 on Oct 13, 51.9 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Below 29 million | 1% | 2¢ | 164 | ||
| Between 29 and 36.99 million | 1% | ▼ 3 | 1¢ | 2¢ | 336 |
| Between 37 and 42.99 million | 1% | ▼ 28 | 2¢ | 15¢ | 6.3K |
| Between 43 and 48.99 million | 2% | ▼ 47 | 4¢ | 23¢ | 3.3K |
| Between 49 and 55 million | 91% | ▲ 85 | 75¢ | 93¢ | 4.9K |
| Above 55 million | 3% | ▼ 1 | 7¢ | 4.9K |
Related markets
All inflation & jobs › $271,691median
$175,000$375,000
Median $271,691Middle half $253,309 – $291,016
Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?
91Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 91KMiddle half 24K – 120K
Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
259,191median
230,000285,000
Median 259,191Middle half 255,515 – 262,708
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
84,176median
79,00093,000
Median 84,176Middle half 83,471 – 84,851
New River Gorge recreation visits in 2026
2.05median
1.602.50
Median 2.05Middle half 2.01 – 2.09
Will Glacier National Park set a visitation record in 2026?
98%chance▲ 4
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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