Jobs numbers in October 2026?
54Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 54KMiddle half 21K – 100K
Median: 84,522 on Oct 13, 84,522 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 80,000 jobs | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | 896 | |
| Above 81,000 jobs | 97% | 96¢ | 97¢ | 34.9K | |
| Above 82,000 jobs | 95% | 94¢ | 95¢ | 49.5K | |
| Above 83,000 jobs | 88% | 87¢ | 88¢ | 72.2K | |
| Above 84,000 jobs | 74% | ▲ 6 | 73¢ | 74¢ | 55.6K |
| Above 85,000 jobs | 28% | 28¢ | 29¢ | 37.2K | |
| Above 86,000 jobs | 13% | 12¢ | 13¢ | 52.2K | |
| Above 87,000 jobs | 10% | 9¢ | 10¢ | 71.6K | |
| Above 88,000 jobs | 7% | 6¢ | 7¢ | 12.3K | |
| Above 89,000 jobs | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | 42.3K | |
| Above 90,000 jobs | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | 58.2K | |
| Above 91,000 jobs | 4% | 3¢ | 4¢ | 10.3K | |
| Above 92,000 jobs | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | 281 |
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.