Jobs numbers in October 2026?
54Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 54KMiddle half 20K – 102K
Median: 257,947 on Oct 13, 257,947 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 235,000 jobs | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | 13.4K | |
| Above 240,000 jobs | 98% | 97¢ | 98¢ | 79.4K | |
| Above 245,000 jobs | 96% | 95¢ | 96¢ | 15.8K | |
| Above 250,000 jobs | 94% | 93¢ | 94¢ | 40.5K | |
| Above 255,000 jobs | 78% | ▲ 4 | 77¢ | 79¢ | 56.4K |
| Above 260,000 jobs | 31% | 30¢ | 31¢ | 44.7K | |
| Above 265,000 jobs | 8% | 7¢ | 8¢ | 39.0K | |
| Above 270,000 jobs | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | 43.8K | |
| Above 275,000 jobs | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | 25.1K | |
| Above 280,000 jobs | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | 21.0K |
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use.