How many jobs added in October?
62Kmedian
-50K125K
Median 62KMiddle half 34K – 101K
Install
Pennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
The odds
556,136median
540,000575,000
Median 556,136Middle half 553,047 – 558,409
How the odds have moved
Median: 555,321 on Oct 2, 556,136 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 545,000 jobs | 97% | 96¢ | 97¢ | 26.1K | |
| Above 550,000 jobs | 95% | 94¢ | 95¢ | 34.9K | |
| Above 555,000 jobs | 63% | 62¢ | 63¢ | 88.9K | |
| Above 560,000 jobs | 8% | 7¢ | 8¢ | 36.7K | |
| Above 565,000 jobs | 6% | 5¢ | 6¢ | 14.2K | |
| Above 570,000 jobs | 5% | 4¢ | 5¢ | 2.3K |
Related markets
All inflation & jobs ›Jobs numbers in Nov 2026?
75Kmedian
-50K150K
Median 75KMiddle half 28K – 123K
Unemployment in October (In Oct 2026)
4.14%median
3.6%5.1%
Median 4.14%Middle half 4.06% – 4.2%
Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
84,176median
79,00093,000
Median 84,176Middle half 83,471 – 84,851
Washington professional, scientific, and technical services employment at end of 2026
258,942median
230,000285,000
Median 258,942Middle half 254,022 – 262,708
Average Wall Street bonus in 2026
$276,689median
$175,000$375,000
Median $276,689Middle half $257,955 – $293,581
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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