NASDAQ-100 price at year-end? (On Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST)

Kalshi Closes Dec 31 · 66.6K contracts · prices read 14 min ago

The odds

27,036median

25,00043,000

Median 27,036

How the odds have moved

Median: 31,059 on Oct 1, 27,036 now.

The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Contracts
26,000 or above	64%	▼ 11	59¢	69¢	9.0K
27,000 or above	51%	▼ 17	46¢	55¢	7.0K
28,000 or above	37%	▼ 15	34¢	39¢	10.9K
29,000 or above	25%	▼ 14	21¢	29¢	8.4K
30,000 or above	16%	▼ 28	11¢	20¢	4.9K
31,000 or above	8%	▼ 10	5¢	11¢	6.8K
32,000 or above	6%	▼ 5	1¢	11¢	4.2K
33,000 or above	6%	▼ 3	1¢	10¢	7.0K
34,000 or above	3%			6¢	3.4K
35,000 or above	3%	▼ 1		5¢	910
36,000 or above	2%	▼ 1		4¢	887
37,000 or above	2%	▼ 1		5¢	336
38,000 or above	2%	▼ 1		5¢	631
39,000 or above	2%			5¢	57.00
40,000 or above	2%	▼ 1		4¢	231
41,000 or above	2%	▼ 1		4¢	2.00
42,000 or above	2%			4¢	1.9K

Related markets

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Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)

86%chance▼ 8

^GSPC−4.36%IVV−4.41%ES=F+0.18%VOO−4.37%

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

86%S&P 500

S&P 50086%▲ 3
Gold8%▲ 6
Bitcoin6%▼ 5

^GSPC−4.36%VOO−4.37%SPY−4.41%IVV−4.41%

S&P close price end of 2026?

7,611median

3,8009,200

Median 7,611Middle half 7,182 – 7,883Above today's price 68%

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F+0.18%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

48%↓ $7,200

Reaches 8,00026%
Reaches 8,20013%
Reaches 8,6003%
Reaches 9,0003%

Falls to 7,20048%
Falls to 7,00048%
Falls to 6,2006%
Falls to 6,0005%

Already reached: ↓ $7,400, ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400

^GSPC−4.36%ES=F+0.18%IVV−4.41%SPY−4.41%

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026?

$754.19high with an even chance

Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $754.19 and as low as $705.47.

Reaches $75059%
Reaches $76038%
Reaches $77026%
Reaches $78014%

Falls to $73090%
Falls to $72068%
Falls to $71054%
Falls to $70045%

Already reached: ↓ $760, ↓ $750, ↓ $740, ↑ $760, ↓ $760, ↑ $740

SPY−4.41%^GSPC−4.36%IVV−4.41%VOO−4.37%

Nasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?

28,002median

18,50033,500

Median 28,002Middle half 25,681 – 29,752Above today's price 66%

^NDX−6.36%NQ=F+0.97%QQQ−6.49%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onGoogle Finance

Trading closesDec 31, 2026 4:00 PM ET

Traded66.6K contracts

Prices read14 min ago

Followed sinceOct 13, 2026

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

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Reading the odds

Each price is the market's probability: a contract at 84¢ that pays $1 if the outcome happens means traders give it an 84% chance. The number shown is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

The strikes' odds give a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way, and the middle half spans the 25th to the 75th percentile.

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Market data is provided for information only and comes from free public sources. Prices may be delayed up to 15 minutes; data may be incomplete or inaccurate. Nothing on this page is investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any security. News and coverage analytics are drawn from the 4Search index. Terms of use. How to use Finance