How low will the S&P get this year? (In 2026)
10%6,300 or below
- Falls to 6,30010%
- Falls to 6,2008%
- Falls to 6,1007%
- Falls to 6,0007%
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How high will the S&P get this year? (In 2026)
The odds
8,078high with an even chance
S&P 500 now 7,807.24 −0.06% Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,078.
- Reaches 8,00062%
- Reaches 8,20032%
- Reaches 8,40014%
- Reaches 8,6007%
- Reaches 8,8005%
- Reaches 9,0003%
Already reached: 7,800 or above
How the odds have moved
Reaches 8,000: 62% on Oct 13, 62% now.
Each outcome's chance over time, from its prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ 7,800 or above | 99% | 384.8K | |||
| 8,000 or above | 62% | ▼ 1 | 61¢ | 63¢ | 398.4K |
| 8,200 or above | 32% | ▼ 3 | 31¢ | 33¢ | 191.9K |
| 8,400 or above | 14% | ▼ 1 | 11¢ | 16¢ | 120.9K |
| 8,600 or above | 7% | 6¢ | 8¢ | 102.0K | |
| 8,800 or above | 5% | 3¢ | 6¢ | 55.5K | |
| 9,000 or above | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 6¢ | 90.2K |
More on this question
All indexes ›Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
70%S&P 500
- S&P 50070%
- Bitcoin22%▲ 1
- Gold8%▼ 1
SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?
2%chance
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by ___?
14%December 31, 2026
- December 31, 202614%▼ 6
Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
92%chance▼ 2
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?
8,052high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,052 and as low as 7,341.
- Reaches 8,00053%
- Reaches 8,20042%
- Reaches 8,6008%
- Reaches 9,0005%
- Falls to 7,40060%
- Falls to 7,20026%
- Falls to 7,00021%
- Falls to 6,2009%
Already reached: ↑ $7,800, ↑ $7,600, ↑ $7,400, ↓ $6,600, ↓ $6,400
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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