Homestead Meadows North, TX Weather

Key Messages

Updated at 1040 PM MDT Sun Oct 25 2026

- Most of the area will stay dry on Monday, but we will still have a chance across portions of Hudspeth County.

- A few days of drier weather is expected midweek before rain chances return Thursday into Friday.

- Typical late-October temperatures, with lowland highs in the lower to mid 70s.

Discussion

Issued at 1040 PM MDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Another night, another round of severe thunderstorms and heavy rain. The good news is that the upper level trough and surface convergence that has lead to multiple nights of severe weather are finally moving to the east, but not before we could see one more round of strong thunderstorms on Monday. The main threat for these strong thunderstorms will be in Hudspeth County. Most of the region will stay rain free on Monday. High temperatures on Monday will run a few degrees below average.

For Tuesday and Wednesday we will see drier air move into the area on a zonal (west to east) flow aloft. We look to stay dry both days with high temperatures climbing a few degrees above average by Wednesday. Wednesday afternoon our upper level flow will begin to turn more to the southeast as our next upper level trough approaches the west coast. Our precipitable water values (PW's) will drop below 0.5 for most of the area on Tuesday and Wednesday. But then on Thursday, we will see another surge of moisture from the south and southeast and we will see PW's jump to around 0.80 to 0.90 by Thursday. With the moisture in place and the next upper level trough approaching the area will be enough to give us a chance for thunderstorms Thursday afternoon and evening. On Friday the main energy from the upper level trough will sweep across New Mexico and that will give us a good chance for thunderstorms. With the well above average PW's we could see some heavy rain makers which can lead to isolated flash flooding. High temperatures for both Thursday and Friday will run near seasonal averages. Right now next Saturday and Sunday look dry, with high temperatures near average.

Aviation

(06Z TAFS) Issued at 1040 PM MDT Sun Oct 25 2026

A late night round of thunderstorms developed and moved across KELP. Those storms are moving to the northeast. For the rest of tonight will we will have unlimited ceilings and light winds. On Monday, we could see a few thunderstorms develop but they will stay east of KELP. We will have generally unlimited ceilings on Monday with light south winds and our winds will be light and variable beginning Monday evening.

Fire Weather

Issued at 1112 AM MDT Sun Oct 25 2026

Dry conditions for Gila NF, but scattered thunderstorms are expected again across Lincoln NF this afternoon and evening. Storms will be capable of gusty winds and localized flooding. Prevailing wind out of the SSW at 5 to 10 mph, with Good vent rates today. Lighter winds Monday/Tuesday will keep vent rates Poor to Fair through most of the afternoon hours.

Moisture shifts further east early this week, leading to a brief window of dry conditions area wide. Rain chances return Thursday into next weekend, leading to another round of wetting precipitation over the forested areas. ERCs are very low at the moment, so no fire danger expected into early November.