How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
40%At least ¥73,000
72,00081,000
Above today's price —
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Nikkei 225: Close Price End of 2026
The odds
72,414median
Nikkei 225 now 67,777.52 −1.82% 50,00090,000
Median 72,414Middle half 65,323 – 77,143Above today's price 68%
How the odds have moved
Median: 72,346 on Oct 13, 72,414 now.
The median price the market implied over time, and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <55,000 | 9% | 11¢ | 12¢ | $1.3K | |
| 55,000-60,000 | 7% | 19¢ | $424 | ||
| 60,000-65,000 | 8% | 1¢ | 22¢ | $777 | |
| 65,000-70,000 | 14% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 37¢ | $637 |
| 70,000-75,000 | 25% | ▲ 1 | 21¢ | 46¢ | $6.5K |
| 75,000-80,000 | 28% | ▼ 2 | 22¢ | 55¢ | $7.3K |
| 80,000-85,000 | 3% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $569 | |
| 85,000+ | 6% | 1¢ | 16¢ | $677 |
More on this question
All indexes ›Bank of Japan rate decision in October (Oct 29, 2026 meeting)
93%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate93%
- Hike 25bps5%
- Hike more than 25bps1%▲ 1
- Cut more than 25bps1%▼ 1
1 more
- Cut 25bps1%▼ 1
Bank of Japan Decision in December?
66%25 bps increase
- 25 bps increase66%▲ 2
- No change31%
- 50+ bps increase2%
- 25 bps decrease1%
1 more
- 50+ bps decrease<1%
Will the S&P finish positive this year? (2026)
92%chance
Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026
71%S&P 500
- S&P 50071%
- Bitcoin21%
- Gold8%▼ 1
How high will the S&P get this year? (In 2026)
8,092high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as 8,092.
- Reaches 8,00066%
- Reaches 8,20031%
- Reaches 8,40014%
- Reaches 8,6008%
Already reached: 7,800 or above
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi and Polymarket, not forecasts by 4Search. Read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.
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